B.C. Election: Conservative support strengthening ahead of Saturday vote, polls indicate

Lorne Doerkson, interim leader of the Conservative Party of B.C., attends a pre-election event hosted by the Vancouver Board of Trade on Oct. 13, 2026. Photo by NICK PROCAYLO /PNG

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Political polls are showing a potential blue wave — with a tinge of Green — at the voting booth for Saturday’s general election in B.C.

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The survey, held Oct. 20-22, also showed support for the Green Party had gone from nine to 13 per cent since the leaders’ debate.

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Mainstreet Research (44-39), Angus Reid (46-43) and Innovative Research (43-38) all show the Conservatives in the lead ahead of Saturday’s general election.

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“It seems that (Premier David Eby) just doesn’t have any momentum, and he hasn’t been able to create it from the beginning,” said Steve Mossop, executive vice-president of Leger’s Western Canada team.

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“But it’s been a slow erosion of the NDP vote from the start of the campaign to the point where the Conservatives have a measurable lead.”

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Leger’s analysis also showed that voters have begun to coalesce around their choices, with the number of undecided voters dropping to six per cent, and those who have said they are likely to change their vote dropping from 26 per cent to 21.

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But it’s not entirely doom and gloom for the NDP. Younger voters (35 per cent) and Green supporters (36 per cent) said they would consider switching their votes if their preferred party didn’t field a candidate in their riding. And among those, the NDP has more support (29 per cent to 18 per cent) than the Conservatives — especially among Green Party voters (34 per cent to 12 per cent).

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It’s been a rough week for Eby, however, whose popularity continues to slide. Almost half of respondents say their opinion of the NDP leader has worsened as opposed to improved (45 per cent to 12 per cent). That’s a seven-point drop for Eby from the previous week.

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Perception of Conservative leader Lorne Doerkson has been more even, with 24 per cent improved to 22 per cent worse.

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“Doerkson has established himself as a moderate. He’s calm. He’s collected. He’s not saying anything outrageous. He’s sticking to some general, broad themes: economy, jobs, taxes, and change,” said Mossop. “And Eby has been continually throwing out the kind of radical solutions that alienate some parts of the voter group. For example, the vacancy tax … he’s alienated the business community and developers. You talk about instigating extra taxes in the highest tax regime in the country on incomes over $200,000, and you’re alienating people who tend to get out and vote more than any other crowd.