Liberal lead over Tories widens, new poll says

Liberals see slight bump in support, according to Liaison's weekly tracker poll

Published Apr 22, 2026  •  2 minute read

Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre (left) and Prime Minister Mark Carney. Photo by Bryan Passifiume and Greg Southam /Postmedia Network

OTTAWA — As the Mark Carney Liberals settle into their newly obtained majority mandate, the gap between them and the Opposition Tories widened over the past week.

Article content

That’s according to Liaison Strategy’s weekly federal tracker polls, which have the Liberals widening their lead over the Pierre Poilievre Conservatives to 12 percentage points — two more than last week.

Article content

Article content

“The Liberals are posting another double-digit lead this week, rebounding from past dips in support,” said Liaison Principal David Valentin.

“Conversely, Pierre Poilievre’s numbers have remained largely stagnant; his favorability is essentially unchanged from a year ago, while his unfavourable ratings have trended upwards, effectively creating a ceiling for the Conservative vote.”

Liberal support sees three per cent jump

Among decided and leaning voters, 45% percent of those polled would vote Liberal, compared to 33% for the Conservatives — the same numbers the Tories saw in last week’s poll, but up from the lows experienced earlier this year.

That’s a 3% increase this week for the Liberals.

Outside of the 50% support the Liberals are enjoying in Ontario this week, support for the Liberals was highest in both Atlantic Canada and Manitoba/Saskatchewan, where they both garnered 46% support of those polled.

Article content

Interestingly, Manitoba and Saskatchewan are also the highest sources of support for the Tories — who tied with the Liberals at 46%, and came one point higher than Alberta’s 45%.

The federal NDP seem to be enjoying no upward momentum after selecting Avi Lewis as their new leader, as their vote share remains at just 10%, just ahead of the Bloc Québécois at 6%.

The Green Party sit at 3%, while the People’s Party of Canada maintain their steady hold on last place at just 2% of the vote.

Read More

1. 

   Federal Liberal support slips, but maintains double-digit lead over Tories

2. 

   Privy Council Office spent millions on outside contractors: CTF

PM sees increase in approval ratings, Poilievre remains unchanged from last year

After a slight dip, approval ratings for Carney reached 62% this week, up from the PM’s low-water mark of 55% seen in January.

The PM’s disapproval rating holds steady this week at 29%, with 9% reporting “not sure.”

After a few bumps this year bringing him close to cracking 40%, approval ratings for Poilievre sat att 36% this week — just one up from where it sat a year ago.

The poll was conducted among 1,000 Canadians between April 6 and April 18, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1%, 19 times out of 20.

[email protected]

Article content