State of the race: Five takeaways from the US election this week

5 days ago 9

With the United States statesmanlike predetermination conscionable implicit 3 weeks away, the campaigns of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are going into overdrive, with last-minute appeals to voters.

Need a speedy breakdown of the week’s biggest governmental news? Look nary further.

We’ll get you up to velocity with 5 cardinal takeaways from the past 7 days and an overview of wherever the candidates basal successful the polls.

Donald Trump and Kamala HarrisFormer US President Donald Trump and existent Vice President Kamala Harris are headed for a showdown connected November 5 [Eduardo Munoz and Nathan Howard/Reuters]

The predetermination astatine a glance

  • How galore days left?

There are 23 days near earlier the November 5 election.

  • National polling averages amusement Harris with flimsy lead

As of October 11, the polling aggregator FiveThirtyEight shows Vice President Kamala Harris up by 2.5 points, with 48.5 percent enactment compared to erstwhile President Donald Trump’s 46 percent.

Another polling average, from the website 270toWin, shows Harris again with a marginal lead, with 49.3 percent support. Trump, meanwhile, is astatine 46.5 percent.

  • Any surprises?

Harris, the Democrat, could beryllium poised to flip 1 of Trump’s cardinal demographics: suburban voters.

On October 10, the quality bureau Reuters and the marketplace probe canvass Ipsos released a canvass that showed Harris led her Republican rival 47 percent to 41 among suburbanites.

But 2 days later, The New York Times and Siena College released a canvass that indicated Harris could beryllium slipping among Black voters. She pulled successful 78 percent enactment — a driblet from the estimated 90 percent enactment her chap Democrat, Joe Biden, earned successful 2020.

Floodwaters beryllium   precocious   connected  the houses successful  a flooded neighbourhood successful  South Daytona.A car plies the floodwaters successful a neighbourhood of South Daytona, Florida, connected October 11, aft the transition of Hurricane Milton [Ricardo Arduengo/Reuters]

Hurricane Milton becomes disinformation battleground

Within 3 days of forming successful the Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane Milton had billowed into a almighty Category 5 storm, earning the highest ranking connected the Saffir-Simpson scale.

Such accelerated improvement had seldom been seen. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration dubbed Milton “one of the astir aggravated hurricanes connected grounds successful the Atlantic basin”.

And it was heading consecutive for Florida, the southernmost authorities successful the contiguous United States.

But arsenic Florida braced for impact, politicians were preparing not conscionable for lashing upwind and tempest surges but besides a flood of disinformation.

Swaths of the US South were inactive recovering from September’s Hurricane Helene, and successful the weeks since, Trump had made a bid of mendacious claims, including that the Democrat-led national authorities was “going retired of their mode to not assistance radical successful Republican areas”.

On the nighttime Milton made landfall, outgoing President Joe Biden slapped back, utilizing his White House remarks astir the tempest to blast Trump, his erstwhile governmental rival.

“Over the past fewer weeks, there’s been reckless and irresponsible and relentless promotion of disinformation and outright lies astir what’s going on,” Biden said, calling the distortions “un-American”.

“Former President Trump has led this onslaught of lies,” helium added.

Harris herself blasted Trump successful remarks successful Las Vegas. “This is not a clip for radical to play politics,” she said, successful notation to the Republican.

Kamala Harris sits crossed  from Alex Cooper astatine  the workplace  for the Call Her Daddy podcast.Democratic statesmanlike nominee Kamala Harris sits down with podcast big Alex Cooper [Call Her Daddy/Handout via Reuters]

Trump and Harris spar with mainstream media

Once criticised for failing to look connected the nationalist media circuit, Harris zipped from 1 interrogation to the adjacent astatine the commencement of this week, arsenic portion of a recent media blitz.

It was a stark opposition to the commencement of her campaign. After she announced her candidacy connected July 21, Harris failed to look successful immoderate large interrogation until precocious August.

And adjacent then, it was a associated interrogation with her moving mate, Tim Walz. Her archetypal solo interrogation came a mates of weeks later, connected September 13, with a section TV presumption successful Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

But successful the past week, Harris has cranked up the frequence of her media appearances. In the abstraction of 2 days, she appeared connected the podcast Call Her Daddy, connected the vigor with The Howard Stern Show and connected tv with talk-show appearances connected The View and The Late Show with Stephen Colbert.

And her prerecorded interrogation with the vaunted TV newsmagazine 60 Minutes besides aired connected Monday.

That past interrogation was meant to beryllium portion of a pair: 60 Minutes had invited Donald Trump to beryllium down for a signaling arsenic well.

But big Scott Pelley announced that the Trump squad had pulled retired of the agreed-upon interview, citing “shifting explanations”, including that the Republican mightiness beryllium fact-checked connected air.

The friction betwixt Trump and 60 Minutes did not extremity there. When a teaser mentation of the Harris interrogation showed the vice president answering a question otherwise than she did successful the longer version, Trump accused the newsmagazine of trying to “make her look better”.

He besides called connected the Federal Communications Commission to “TAKE AWAY THE CBS LICENSE”. The remarks earned a rebuke from the commission’s chair, who warned that specified an enactment would endanger escaped speech.

Kamala Harris, with 2  lights disposable   down  herDemocratic statesmanlike nominee Kamala Harris looks connected during a run lawsuit successful Chandler, Arizona, connected October 10 [Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters]

Harris touts wellness arsenic vantage implicit Trump

Through overmuch of the 2024 election, questions of wellness and competency person loomed ample — adjacent dooming 1 candidate’s run.

After a dismal statement show successful June, the 81-year-old Biden was forced retired of the statesmanlike contention amid questions astir his property and quality to lead. It was the culmination of months of speculation and attacks, arsenic Trump dug into Biden arsenic a “weak” and “sleepy” aged man.

But astatine 78 years old, Trump himself has faced questions astir his property and intelligence competency.

Those questions came backmost into the spotlight this week. Last Sunday, The New York Times ran a communicative analysing Trump’s “rambling” and progressively longwinded speeches, questioning whether his code patterns reflected the toll of age.

And then, connected Saturday, the White House released a memo touting his Democratic rival’s health.

The 59-year-old Harris, it read, “possesses the carnal and intelligence resiliency required to successfully execute the duties of the Presidency”.

Trump has agelong touted his show connected cognitive tests arsenic grounds of his abilities. On Saturday, his run spokesperson Steven Cheung responded to the media scrutiny with a statement, arguing that Harris “does not person the stamina” of Trump.

“All person concluded helium is successful cleanable and fantabulous wellness to beryllium Commander successful Chief,” Cheung wrote of Trump.

Donald Trump speaks astatine  a rally, arsenic  radical   clasp  up   signs that work   "47" down  him.Former President Donald Trump holds a run rally successful Reno, Nevada, connected October 11 [Fred Greaves/Reuters]

Trump lays retired blueprint for anti-immigrant agenda

On the run way this week, Trump ratcheted up his attacks connected migrants successful the US, continuing a streak of mendacious and incendiary claims.

Immigration has been 1 of the defining issues of Trump’s governmental career, and helium has gone to large lengths to task a hardline image.

But critics pass his nativist rhetoric has grown progressively extreme, echoing the sentiments of achromatic supremacists and different arguable figures.

On Monday, Trump recorded an audio interview with the Hugh Hewitt Show, wherever helium repeated mendacious claims that murderers were crossing the borderline into the US en masse.

“Many of them murdered acold much than 1 person, and they’re present happily surviving successful the United States,” Trump said. “Now a murderer, I judge this: It’s successful their genes. And we’ve got a batch of atrocious genes successful our state close now.”

The Republican continued to play up the spectre of immigrants arsenic criminals successful appearances passim the week, astir notably connected Friday.

Speaking successful Aurora, Colorado, Trump pledged that, if re-elected, helium would usage his archetypal days successful bureau to “expedite the removal” of “savage gangs” from abroad, arsenic good arsenic invoke the Alien Enemies Act of 1798, a wartime law, arsenic a instrumentality for wide deportation.

He besides called for the decease punishment for migrants who killed US citizens.

Despite Trump’s portrayals of lawlessness, studies person shown that undocumented immigrants perpetrate crimes astatine acold little rates than US-born citizens.

A Trump protagonist  holds up   some  hands successful  fists arsenic  the erstwhile  president   speaks successful  beforehand   of him astatine  a rally.A protagonist cheers arsenic Republican statesmanlike nominee Donald Trump speaks during a rally successful Coachella, California, connected October 12 [Mike Blake/Reuters]

Bob Woodward’s publication paints unflattering portrait

Reporter Bob Woodward holds near-mythic presumption successful the US journalism sphere.

In 1972, helium and his Washington Post workfellow Carl Bernstein helped uncover President Richard Nixon’s relation successful the Watergate scandal, thereby precipitating the politician’s eventual resignation.

Since then, Woodward has published dozens of books, purporting to amusement the interior machinations of US politics. His latest, landing close successful the midst of the heated statesmanlike race, offered an unflattering glimpse of Trump’s alleged relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Entitled War, the publication was released to quality outlets connected Tuesday successful beforehand of landing connected bookstore shelves.

In its pages, an unnamed adjutant alleged Trump called Putin astatine slightest 7 times since leaving office. The publication besides claimed that, astatine the tallness of the COVID-19 pandemic, Trump sent virus-testing machines that were successful abbreviated proviso to Putin.

News outlets person since struggled to independently verify immoderate of the book’s astir headline-grabbing claims. And Trump’s squad refuted them entirely, calling Woodward an “angry, small man”.

“None of these made up stories by Bob Woodward are existent and are the enactment of a genuinely demented and deranged man,” Cheung, Trump’s spokesperson, wrote successful a statement.

But the publication does incorporate immoderate high-profile named sources, including the erstwhile caput of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Mark Milley — erstwhile the highest-ranking subject serviceman successful the US.

He tells Woodward successful the publication that Trump is “fascist to the core”.

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