Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

1 week ago 15

Poll shows right-wing campaigner with 2 percent vantage implicit Lula going into 2nd circular of voting connected October 25.

Published On 15 Oct 2026

A caller canvass has found that right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a flimsy pb implicit President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva arsenic the 2 candidates question an edge up of Brazil’s tense October 25 run-off vote.

A Quaest canvass released connected Thursday recovered that Bolsonaro, lad of erstwhile far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, would person 46 percent of the ballot compared to Lula’s 44 percent, a quality wrong the two-percent borderline of error.

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Bolsonaro outperformed expectations during the archetypal circular of voting connected October 4, beating Lula by little than 2 points contempt astir polls suggesting that the leftist president was connected way for a marginal first-round win. Neither campaigner secured a bulk that would person avoided a run-off.

The poll, the archetypal released by Quaest since the archetypal round of voting, shows that Bolsonaro has held onto his pb and remains the favourite heading into the 2nd round.

Lula has sought to rally his supporters aft the October 4 loss, holding ample rallies that person drawn millions of radical onto the street.

While Bolsonaro has remained up successful the polls, analysts person pointed retired that helium has not benefitted arsenic overmuch from the elimination of respective blimpish candidates, whose supporters would presumably similar him to Lula, arsenic mightiness person been expected aft the archetypal round.

Bolsonaro has made advancement securing endorsements from close and centre-right parties, however, seeking to consolidate enactment from conservatives and physique a conjugation affable to concern interests and a argumentation docket sought by investors.

Brazil’s Senate approved a law amendment connected Wednesday reducing the country’s maximum workweek from 44 to 40 hours per week without a simplification successful pay, delivering a cardinal precedence for Lula arsenic the president presses his lawsuit to an electorate that is anxious astir cost-of-living issues.

“Today is simply a time to observe a historical accomplishment for millions of workers,” Lula said successful a statement. “This means having much clip to live, rest, beryllium with family, ticker your children turn up, instrumentality attraction of yourself, and bask life. Those who enactment truthful hard to physique Brazil besides merit to person clip to live.”

The president besides precocious banned sports betting, which had caused an detonation of gambling addiction and contributed to surging household indebtedness crossed the country.

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