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Tip of the match Thunder to win |
Game total Over 212.5 |
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Key subordinate prop Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, implicit 26.5 points |
Injury alert Jalen Williams (OKC) — Out |
Oklahoma City Thunder bring a cleanable four-wins-from-four start, but not injured helping Jalen Williams, to American Airlines Center connected Wednesday, erstwhile they look a Dallas Mavericks broadside lone 3 games into beingness nether caller caput manager Dusty May.
Oklahoma City person won the past 3 meetings betwixt these 2 sides, and Dallas get having spent the summertime tearing up their ain roster and beforehand bureau aft past season's Luka Doncic fallout.
Oklahoma City Thunder's signifier and outlook earlier facing Dallas Mavericks
Form Guide
Oklahoma City Thunder
4-0 · No. 2 seed, Western Conference
Last 4 (2026-27 regular season)
W W W W
111.3PPG
100.8Opp PPG
112.4Off. rating
102.0Def. rating
Dallas Mavericks
2-2 · No. 7 seed, Western Conference
Last 4 (2026-27 regular season)
L W L W
112.3PPG
118.3Opp PPG
111.7Off. rating
114.9Def. rating
Mark Daigneault's broadside person not mislaid since the opening week, reeling disconnected 4 consecutive wins, the astir caller a choky decorativeness implicit Phoenix connected the 2nd nighttime of a back-to-back.
They person managed that without Jalen Williams, an All-Star-calibre helping mislaid for the bulk of the play to a dislocated ankle and fractured fibula sustained against the Clippers.
Cason Wallace is retired connected a likewise agelong timeline aft enarthrosis surgery, truthful a defence already doing the dense lifting is absorbing 2 rotation losses astatine erstwhile and inactive uncovering a mode to enactment unbeaten.
Williams is not expected backmost until astir the commencement of March, by the Thunder's ain estimate, meaning Oklahoma City could beryllium without their second-most productive violative limb for astir fractional the season.
Neither broadside is connected a back-to-back for this one, with some teams moving connected a azygous time of remainder aft Monday's results.
Dallas, by contrast, person alternated results done the opening fortnight of the new play calendar, a signifier that already includes a location nonaccomplishment successful which their defence was picked apart.
The bigger communicative successful Dallas runs done the beforehand office, wherever Masai Ujiri took complaint successful May, fired Jason Kidd, and installed first-time NBA caput manager Dusty May alongside a reshaped roster built astir Kyrie Irving and Cooper Flagg.
One study called it the biggest overhaul of the franchise since Mark Cuban bought the nine backmost successful 2000, which underlines conscionable however overmuch has changed successful Dallas crossed a azygous off-season.
Tale of the Tape
Oklahoma City ThunderDallas Mavericks
The spread that jumps retired is defensive, with Oklahoma City conceding acold little than immoderate different squad successful the league portion Dallas person been picked isolated connected their ain level already this season.
Dallas bash person the amended axenic scoring and ball-movement numbers of the 2 sides, built connected Cooper Flagg and Kyrie Irving generating quick, cleanable looks, but neither fig yet reflects a crippled against a defence of this calibre.
Oklahoma City besides support the shot considerably better, a trait that tends to substance much against a squad inactive settling into a caller coaching staff's sets.
What's the wounded representation for Thunder vs Mavericks?
Injury Report
Oklahoma City Thunder
Jalen Williams — dislocated ankle, fractured fibulastarter, season-altering absenceOut
Cason Wallace — torn labrum, enarthrosis surgeryrotation guardOut
Alex Caruso — close ankle sprainQuestionable
Nikola Topic — backQuestionable
Thomas Sorber — kneeQuestionable
Chet Holmgren — kneelisted Out for the Phoenix game, absent from the newest report; presumption unresolvedGame-Time Decision
Dallas Mavericks
Caleb Martin — thumbexpected backmost 2 NovemberOut
Tarik Biberovic — heelexpected backmost 2 NovemberOut
Santi Aldama — kneeexpected backmost 2 NovemberOut
Naji Marshall — illnessQuestionable
Sergio de Larrea — kneeQuestionable
Dereck Lively II — footlisted Out against Indiana, absent from the newest report; presumption unresolvedGame-Time Decision
Oklahoma City's rotation has thinned retired fast, with some Williams and Wallace present facing country recoveries that volition support them retired for months alternatively than weeks.
Caruso, Topic and Sorber each transportation game-time calls for Wednesday, portion Holmgren's concern needs a past cheque earlier tip-off aft conflicting reports either broadside of the Phoenix game.
Caruso lasted lone 9 minutes against Phoenix earlier his ankle forced him off, managing 9 points successful that abbreviated burst, which hints astatine the benignant of relation helium could play present if helium is passed fit.
Dallas are missing 3 forwards for astir different week successful Martin, Biberovic and Aldama, which leaves Dusty May airy connected frontcourt extent down Daniel Gafford and P.J. Washington.
Marshall, de Larrea and Lively transportation their ain uncertainty, and a nine already adjusting to a caller coaching unit cannot easy sorb much than 1 of those names really sitting out.
Thunder vs Mavericks: the matchups that could determine it
Key Matchups
Engine vs engine

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
OKC
VS

Kyrie Irving
DAL
27.3PPG
4.3RPG
3.8APG
47.8%FG%
Gilgeous-Alexander has carried an adjacent heavier scoring load since Williams went down, portion Irving is inactive uncovering his bushed successful his archetypal period backmost from a torn ACL.
Battle of the boards

Isaiah Hartenstein
OKC
VS

Daniel Gafford
DAL
9.3PPG
8.5RPG
2.3APG
53.3%FG%
Hartenstein's rebounding and passing retired of the station anchor Oklahoma City's defence, and with Dallas already abbreviated of frontcourt depth, winning the solid present matters much than usual.
Second-year sparks

Cooper Flagg
DAL
VS

Jared McCain
OKC
23.0PPG
5.0RPG
4.0APG
60.9%FG%
Flagg has started his 2nd play arsenic Dallas's focal point, but a travel to look the league's stingiest defence is simply a acold sharper trial than thing helium has faced truthful far.
Gilgeous-Alexander's workload is the clearest lever successful this game, since Oklahoma City person nary evident 2nd shot-creator with Williams retired for the agelong haul.
Dallas request Flagg and Irving to make capable casual offence of their ain to past a defence that has not fto anyone past 104 points yet this season.
Player props to ticker arsenic Thunder sojourn Mavericks
Player Props to Watch

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOKC
PointsOver 26.5
27.3Season PPG
16.3Pre-season (3 GP)
4GP played
He has taken connected an adjacent bigger stock of the offence since Williams went down, and Dallas person yet to amusement they tin dilatory a pb scorer of this level.

Cooper FlaggDAL
PointsUnder 20.5
23.0Season PPG
19.7Pre-season (3 GP)
2GP played
His blistery commencement has travel against 2 sides obscurity adjacent arsenic disciplined defensively arsenic Oklahoma City, who person conceded the fewest points successful the league this season.

Kyrie IrvingDAL
PointsUnder 18.5
19.5Season PPG
17.5Pre-season (2 GP)
2GP played
Irving is inactive gathering bushed this aboriginal successful his comeback from genu surgery, and this is the toughest scoring defence helium has faced since returning.
How Oklahoma City Thunder and Dallas Mavericks person fared head-to-head
Season Series
1 Mar 2026Thunder 100-87 MavericksDallas
5 Dec 2025Thunder 132-111 MavericksOklahoma City
27 Oct 2025Thunder 101-94 MavericksDallas
23 Jan 2025Mavericks 121-115 ThunderOklahoma City
Oklahoma City person won 3 consecutive successful this series, each of them by treble figures barroom the astir recent, a low-scoring triumph successful Dallas backmost successful March.
Dallas's past triumph successful the fixture came astir 2 years ago, earlier either broadside underwent the roster and coaching changes that person reshaped some rosters since.
None of the 4 meetings featured the existent Dallas coaching unit oregon Flagg, truthful this past offers discourse much than a usher to however Wednesday volition really play out.
Our prediction for Thunder vs Mavericks
TotalOver 212.5 points
Our ain projected scoreline comfortably clears this number, with Oklahoma City's scoring and Dallas's leaky defence doing astir of the work.
PropShai Gilgeous-Alexander implicit 26.5 points
The other instauration load near by Williams's lack plays consecutive into his hands against a leaky Dallas defence.
PropCooper Flagg nether 20.5 points
His blistery commencement has not yet met a defence similar Oklahoma City's, the stingiest successful the league this season.
PropKyrie Irving nether 18.5 points
He is inactive uncovering his scoring bushed backmost from genu surgery, and this is his toughest antiaircraft trial yet.
ParlayGilgeous-Alexander implicit 26.5 points + Irving nether 18.5 points
Oklahoma City's go-to scorer thriving against a leaky defence portion Dallas's ain changeable creator struggles for bushed captures the signifier of this game.
Score Prediction
Dallas Mavericks 104-114 Oklahoma City Thunder
Predicted margin: 10 points · Predicted total: 218
Oklahoma City's defence, already the champion successful the league this season, looks the azygous biggest origin successful this matchup, and it is hard to spot Dallas's offence solving it connected the roadworthy to a win.
A 5th consecutive triumph implicit this hostile looks the likeliest outcome, adjacent with 2 rotation pieces missing for the visitors, and an aboriginal motion of however the Western Conference standings could shingle retired implicit the opening weeks of the caller campaign.
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