Tip of the matchTimberwolves +11.5
Game totalOver 226.5
Key subordinate propDe'Aaron Fox Over 20.5 points + assists
Injury alertAnthony Edwards (Minnesota) Out
San Antonio Spurs big Minnesota Timberwolves astatine Frost Bank Center connected Sunday successful a rematch of past season's Western Conference semi-final, which the Spurs won 4-2, with Minnesota playing the 2nd nighttime of a back-to-back.
Minnesota person been rebuilt since that series, with Julius Randle and Naz Reid traded to bring successful LaMelo Ball and Jonathan Kuminga signed arsenic a escaped agent, portion the Spurs finished 62-20 past play and reached the NBA Finals earlier losing to the New York Knicks successful 5 games.
What is the signifier similar for the Timberwolves and Spurs?
Form Guide
Minnesota Timberwolves4-2 · 7th successful the West
Last 5 (2026-27 regular season)
WWLLW
121.5PPG
106.7Opp PPG
116.8Off. rating
102.4Def. rating
San Antonio Spurs3-2 · 8th successful the West
Last 5 (2026-27 regular season)
LLWWW
116.6PPG
110.0Opp PPG
114.1Off. rating
108.1Def. rating
Minnesota beryllium seventh successful the conference standings connected a 4-2 record, 1 spot supra San Antonio, who are 3-2, though the samples are tiny astatine six and 5 games respectively.
The Timberwolves won their archetypal 3 games, mislaid 125-127 astatine Cleveland and 114-119 against Golden State, past bushed the Los Angeles Clippers 127-101 successful their past outing, with Ball scoring a season-high 24 points and Jaden McDaniels adding 23.
San Antonio mislaid their archetypal 2 games astatine home, 104-116 to Oklahoma City and 110-114 to Houston, but person won 3 successful a enactment since, the latest a 117-111 overtime triumph astatine Utah successful which Victor Wembanyama scored 36 points with 14 rebounds.
The Jazz forced that other play aft a five-point Spurs pb disappeared wrong the last 2 minutes, and manager Mitch Johnson took work for a precocious coaching mistake afterwards.
Tale of the Tape
TimberwolvesSpurs
121.5PPG116.6
Timberwolves +4.9
106.7Opp PPG110.0
Timberwolves -3.3
116.8Off. rating114.1
Timberwolves +2.7
102.4Def. rating108.1
Timberwolves -5.7
50.2RPG45.0
Timberwolves +5.2
48.3%FG%46.0%
Timberwolves +2.3%
Minnesota's nett standing of +14.4 dwarfs San Antonio's +6.0, though it was built implicit six games that included a 25-point triumph astatine Miami and a 23-point triumph implicit Toronto.
Rebounding is wherever the Timberwolves clasp their clearest edge, with Rudy Gobert pulling down 12.3 a crippled and reserve Joan Beringer adding 7.0 successful conscionable 16.1 minutes.
The Spurs instrumentality amended attraction of the ball, turning it implicit 13.2 times a crippled against 16.2, and Minnesota are playing their 3rd crippled successful 4 nights connected the NBA schedule portion San Antonio person had 2 days off.
That remainder spread and location tribunal should beryllium capable for the Spurs to win, though Minnesota's defence, the stronger of the 2 per possession, makes a comfy borderline harder to reach.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs squad quality and rotations
Injury Report
Minnesota Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsRight kneeAveraging 33.3 PPG crossed 4 games
Out
Donte DiVincenzoRight Achilles
Out
San Antonio Spurs
Tobias HarrisLeft calfYet to marque his Spurs debut
Out
Jayden QuaintanceRight knee
Out
Anthony Edwards is retired for Minnesota aft arthroscopic country connected his close knee, with the nine mounting nary timetable for his return, and helium had averaged 33.3 points successful 4 games earlier the procedure.
Donte DiVincenzo is besides retired with a close Achilles problem, truthful Minnesota are expected to commencement the aforesaid 5 that began against the Clippers, with Ball, Ayo Dosunmu, Kuminga, McDaniels and Gobert, portion Terrence Shannon Jr. leads the reserves astatine 13.7 points a crippled and Bones Hyland scored 19 disconnected the seat against the Clippers.
San Antonio are without free-agent signing Tobias Harris, who signed a two-year woody successful the summertime but has yet to marque his debut aft a calf strain, and Jayden Quaintance, who is recovering from genu surgery.
The Spurs are expected to commencement De'Aaron Fox, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Devin Vassell and Wembanyama, with Julian Champagnie and Keldon Johnson starring the 2nd unit.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs, the matchups that could determine it
Key Matchups
The middle
![]()
Victor WembanyamaSAS
VS
![]()
Rudy GobertMIN
25.0Wemby PPG
11.4Wemby RPG
7.0Gobert PPG
12.3Gobert RPG
Wembanyama's scoring against Gobert's rebounding decides who controls the paint, with some averaging astir 30 minutes.
The constituent guards
![]()
De'Aaron FoxSAS
VS
![]()
LaMelo BallMIN
15.4Fox PPG
7.0Fox APG
15.2Ball PPG
6.7Ball APG
53.1%Fox FG%
41.3%Ball FG%
Fox shoots acold much efficiently, portion Ball is the creator Minnesota thin connected astir with Edwards absent.
Wembanyama against Gobert shaped the semi-final, with Wembanyama scoring 19 points and 15 rebounds successful the Game 2 rout and 27 points and 17 rebounds successful Game 5 aft his ejection successful Game 4, and Gobert present faces a subordinate averaging 25.0 points this season.
In the backcourt, Ball is carrying a heavier scoring load aft a season-high nighttime against the Clippers, portion Fox is the Spurs' astir businesslike scorer, a opposition that grows if Minnesota's guards tyre connected the 2nd nighttime of a back-to-back.
Best subordinate props for Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Player Props to Watch
![]()
De'Aaron FoxSAS
Points + assistsOver 20.5
22.4Season avg
22.4Last 5 avg
5Games played
Fox has played 31.4 minutes a game, which leaves a enactment acceptable beneath his scoring and passing mean wrong comfy reach.
![]()
LaMelo BallMIN
ReboundsUnder 4.5
2.5Season avg
2.6Last 5 avg
6Games played
Ball plays alongside Gobert and Joan Beringer, Minnesota's 2 starring rebounders, truthful a guard's full stays low.
![]()
Devin VassellSAS
Points + reboundsOver 15.5
16.6Season avg
16.6Last 5 avg
5Games played
Vassell has averaged 31.6 minutes and scored 21 points successful the overtime triumph astatine Utah, truthful the enactment sits beneath his existent output.
How bash the Timberwolves and Spurs comparison head-to-head?
Season Series · 2026 playoffs
15 MaySpurs 139-109 TimberwolvesWCSF Gm 6 · Minneapolis
12 MaySpurs 126-97 TimberwolvesWCSF Gm 5 · San Antonio
10 MayTimberwolves 114-109 SpursWCSF Gm 4 · Minneapolis
8 MaySpurs 115-108 TimberwolvesWCSF Gm 3 · Minneapolis
6 MaySpurs 133-95 TimberwolvesWCSF Gm 2 · San Antonio
4 MayTimberwolves 104-102 SpursWCSF Gm 1 · San Antonio
The Spurs won the 2026 Western Conference semi-final 4-2 arsenic the 2nd effect against the sixth, taking Games 2, 3, 5 and 6.
Minnesota won Game 1 by 104-102 successful San Antonio and Game 4 by 114-109 astatine home, but the Spurs closed the bid retired 139-109 successful Minneapolis.
Game 2 produced the heaviest postseason decision successful Timberwolves past astatine 133-95, and Sunday's crippled is the archetypal gathering since that series, with Randle and Reid gone from Minnesota and Ball and Kuminga successful their place.
Timberwolves vs. Spurs prediction and tips
SpreadTimberwolves +11.5San Antonio's lone location triumph this play came by 27 implicit Sacramento and their different 2 location games were defeats, which makes a 12-point cushion a batch to lay.
TotalOver 226.5Minnesota play astatine 102.3 possessions a crippled and some of their games without Edwards finished supra this total.
PropDe'Aaron Fox Over 20.5 points + assistsFox's points positive assists mean sits supra the enactment crossed each 5 games helium has played.
PropLaMelo Ball Under 4.5 reboundsBall has averaged small much than fractional the enactment crossed six games successful a lineup with 2 bigger rebounders.
ParlayFox Over 20.5 points + assists and Ball Under 4.5 reboundsThe 2 legs remainder connected each player's relation alternatively than the last margin, truthful neither depends connected the other.
Score Prediction
Spurs 118-111 TimberwolvesPredicted borderline 7 points, full 229
San Antonio should win, but they are 2-0 connected the roadworthy and lone 1-2 astatine location this season, and some of Minnesota's defeats came by 5 points oregon fewer, truthful the Timberwolves look a amended stake to enactment wrong the dispersed than to triumph outright.
The full should beryllium reached, since Minnesota's gait and Ball's instauration outweigh the bushed legs, and Wembanyama gives the Spurs a dependable wrong way to scoring, portion Minnesota marque 16.0 three-pointers a game, which gives Ball country to create.
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