Madrid Open: Jasmine Paolini vs. Laura Siegemund - prediction, head-to-head

Meeting for the archetypal clip successful implicit 2 years, Jasmine Paolini and Laura Siegemund volition beryllium vying for a spot successful the circular of 32 astatine the Madrid Open connected Thursday.

In her erstwhile singles tournament, Paolini was ousted successful her opening lucifer astatine the Porsche Grand Prix successful Stuttgart by Zeynep Sonmez 2-6 2-6, portion Siegemund got to the circular of 16 of that contention earlier Iga Swiatek bushed her 2-6 3-6.

Match preview

Beginning connected Thursday, Jasmine Paolini hopes to crook what has been an up-and-down 2026 run astir erstwhile she faces Siegemund for the 4th time.

The Italian has won 3 of her past 4 opening circular singles matches connected circuit but has lone made it beyond the past 16 once, losing to Cristina Busca successful the Merida Open successful Mexico.

In the past, she has fared good connected clay, capturing the Internazional BNL d’Italia past year, though she exited the Porsche Grand Prix connected clay aft 1 encounter.

A two-time Grand Slam singles finalist, Paolini got to the circular of 32 astatine the 2025 Madrid Open, wherever she was beaten by Maria Sakkari 2-6 1-6.

At this signifier of the year, she has won 63.4% of her work games portion redeeming 59.9% of her interruption points and boasting a 10-5 grounds successful 2026.

On the other end, she has managed to triumph 44.4% of her instrumentality games this year, portion collecting a respectable 39.9% successful instrumentality games won.

At 38, it appears arsenic though Laura Siegemund is successful the process extremity of what has been a beardown vocation successful some the singles and doubles broadside of things for the autochthonal of Stuttgart.

This erstwhile US Open doubles champion has won her past 3 opening-round matches connected the singles broadside aft losing her openers astatine the Dubai and Qatar tournaments.

The trilingual talker who grew up idolizing German fable Steffi Graf has mislaid her opening lucifer connected clay successful 5 of her erstwhile six specified instances, including her archetypal qualifier astatine this tourney past twelvemonth to Francesca Jones 4-6 3-6.

Thursday volition people her archetypal quality successful the circular of 64 astatine the Madrid Open since 2023, erstwhile she was beaten by Petra Martic successful consecutive sets..

So acold successful 2026, she has won 47.3% of her 2nd serves portion boasting a coagulated archetypal service percent of 74.5.

It feels arsenic though Siegemund has mislaid immoderate powerfulness connected her serve, however, registering conscionable 19 aces for the twelvemonth with 31 treble faults.

Head To Head

Bucharest Open (2018) - First Round: Siegemund wins 6-4, 6-0

Palermo Open (2019) - Round of 32: Paolini wins 6-1, 6-4

Zhengzhou Open (2023) - First Round: Paolini wins 6-0, 7-5

When these 2 archetypal squared disconnected successful Romania years ago, Siegemund captured six interruption points portion winning 61% of her work points overall.

The pursuing year, they’d conscionable again successful Paolini’s location state with the Italian boasting an awesome 80% connected her archetypal serves portion claiming 5 interruption constituent opportunities successful the victory.

When they past met successful China astatine the Zhengzhou Open, Siegemund registered 5 treble faults to Paolini’s none, with the second winning 72% of her archetypal serves to instrumentality the match.

We say: Paolini to triumph successful 2 sets

Siegemund’s question connected the tribunal seems to beryllium a small slower these days, whereas Paolini inactive has plentifulness of quickness and should person the German guessing passim this match.