Madrid Open: Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev- prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

Meeting successful a 2nd successive singles tourney connected tour, Alexander Zverev and Flavio Cobolli volition conflict for a spot successful the semi-finals of the Madrid Open connected Thursday.

Both men won thrilling three-set outings successful the past 16, with Zverev defeating Jakub Mensik 6-4 6-7 (4-7) 6-3 and his upcoming Italian hostile getting the amended of Daniil Medvedev 6-3 5-7 6-4.

Match preview

For a 2nd clip astatine this year’s Madrid Open, Cobolli was pushed to a decisive 3rd acceptable and persevered, advancing to the past 8 of an ATP singles lawsuit for a 2nd successive occasion.

On Tuesday, the Italian won 70% of his archetypal serves portion converting 3 of his six interruption constituent opportunities to advance.

In 2026, helium has yet to suffer a lucifer aft winning the opening set, portion advancing successful 5 of his 7 singles outings this twelvemonth which went to a 3rd set.

Overall, helium has his 18 aces implicit the people of his past 3 matches and has not registered much than 3 treble faults successful a lucifer frankincense far.

On clay successful 2026, the 23-year-old calved successful Florence has won implicit 70% of his archetypal service points and 80% of his work games.

While helium has won 56% of his 2nd service instrumentality points connected that aboveground for the year, Cobolli has besides won a respectable 42% of his instrumentality points connected clay.

He has had his stock of anxious moments passim the 2026 Madrid Open, but Alexander Zverev continues to thrive successful the clutch.

Two of his 3 matches successful the tourney this twelvemonth person gone the distance, portion 2 of his sets were decided by a tiebreak.

Zverev won 81% of his archetypal serves against Mensik the past clip retired portion managing to person 3 of his six break-point chances.

When successful doubt, his service has usually been dependable, hitting a full of 22 aces to this signifier of this event.

In summation to that, the German has lone registered a combined 7 treble faults astatine the Madrid Open truthful far, portion claiming a full of 10 interruption points.

For the twelvemonth connected clay, helium has won implicit 75% of his work games, portion boasting a first-serve percent of 68% overall.

Tournament truthful far

Flavio Cobolli:

Round of 64: vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli 6-7 (7-9) 6-1 6-4

Round of 32: vs. Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 6-3 6-2

Round of 16: vs. Daniil Medvedev 6-3 7-5 6-4

Alexander Zverev:

Round of 64: vs. Mariano Navone 6-1 3-6 6-3

Round of 32: vs. Terence Atmane 6-3 7-6 (7-2)

Round of 16: vs. Jakub Mensik 6-4 7-6 (7-4) 6-3

Head To Head

French Open (2025) - Round of 32: Zverev wins 6-2 7-6 6-1

Halle Open (2025) - Quarter-finals: Zverev wins 6-4 7-6

Munich Open (2026) - Semi-finals: Cobolli wins 6-3 6-3

The archetypal gathering betwixt these 2 connected clay saw Zverev deed 8 aces without conceding one, portion the German was clicking astatine 78% connected his archetypal serve.

Later that year, astatine the Halle Open, Zverev won 81% of his first-serve points and converted 1 interruption point, which proved decisive.

Cobolli yet got the amended of the German earlier successful 2026, claiming a convincing triumph successful the latter’s location state arsenic the Italian had 7 aces to spell on with an awesome 32 winners.

We say: Zverev to triumph successful 3 sets

These 2 person travel up large erstwhile needed, but Zverev’s acquisition and service could beryllium the x-factors that crook this lucifer successful his favour.