Lorenzo Musetti vs. Taylor Fritz - prediction, form, head-to-head

ATP World Tour Finals debutant Lorenzo Musetti faces Taylor Fritz connected Monday, aiming to refocus aft a marathon Athens last nonaccomplishment to Novak Djokovic connected Saturday. 

The Italian played the ATP 250 lawsuit needing to triumph to unafraid a spot successful Turin; however, contempt losing to Djokovic successful 3 hours, the Serbian’s withdrawal means Musetti gets his accidental connected location turf astatine the year-end event. 

Match preview

While the ATP person announced changes to qualification for the ATP Finals from 2026, this year’s chaotic concern highlighted the problems of leaving things to the past minute.

Although it created drama, the uncertainty of whether Djokovic would participate, Musetti facing a must-win script oregon Felix Auger-Aliassime playing successful Turin was frustrating astatine times.

Musetti gave his each successful Greece en way to competing to extremity his three-year rubric drought, pushing 24-time Grand Slam champion Djokovic to a decider that ebbed and flowed until the 38-year-old claimed his 101st title.

Now aiming to retrieve and refocus quickly, the 23-year-old returns location to Turin, seeking different triumph implicit Taylor Fritz to unafraid a 4th consecutive triumph against the American No. 1.

However, the erstwhile satellite No. 6 faces a pugnacious situation of recovering successful clip arsenic helium strives to amended his 44-20 grounds for the season.

Fritz, who hopes to instrumentality vantage of immoderate fatigue, has mislaid 3 of their erstwhile tour-level meetings.

The satellite No. 4's signifier since Tokyo has been mixed—having reached the last aft winning 7 matches successful a row, including 2 astatine the Laver Cup.

Since losing to Carlos Alcaraz, however, the 28-year-old has won conscionable 50% of his six tour-level matches, exiting rapidly successful Shanghai, Basel and Paris up of the year-end tournament.

It remains to beryllium seen if Turin plays retired differently, but a subordinate with 55 wins successful 2025 volition backmost himself to amended his 55-21 record.

Having reached the rubric lucifer 12 months agone earlier losing to Jannik Sinner, Fritz returns to Turin seeking a triumph implicit different location subordinate to assertion Monday's triumph successful the Jimmy Connors Group.

Head To Head

Paris Olympics (2024) - Round of 16: Musetti 6-4 7-5

Wimbledon (2024) - Quarter-final: Musetti 3-6 7-6(5) 6-2 3-6 6-1

Monte-Carlo Masters (2024) - Round of 64: Musetti 6-4 6-4

Davis Cup Finals (2022) - Quarter-final: Fritz 7-6(8) 6-3

Wimbledon (2022) - First round: Fritz 6-4 6-4 6-3

Fritz antecedently defeated Musetti successful their archetypal 2 matches connected the ATP Tour, but the Italian has turned the tide by winning 3 successful a row.

Those wins person been peculiarly notable, taking spot astatine a Masters 1000 lawsuit successful Monte Carlo, a gripping five-set lucifer astatine Wimbledon and astatine the Paris Olympics, each past year.

Heading into Monday, the Italian No. 2 has a 5-8 grounds against top-10 players this play and has mislaid 4 consecutive matches to specified opponents, including defeats to Carlos Alcaraz, Sinner, Alexander Zverev and Djokovic.

Although Fritz has a losing 3-4 grounds against top-tier players successful 2025, the American has secured 2 of his past 3 victories, beating Zverev and Alcaraz astatine the Laver Cup.

We say: Fritz to triumph successful 2 sets

Musetti should beryllium the constrictive favourite based connected their erstwhile encounters; however, his carnal and intelligence exertion successful Athens indispensable beryllium taken into account. 

As a result, Fritz is much apt to outperform the Italian, who whitethorn not person overmuch vigor near earlier their round-robin opener

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