By the numbers: 100 days of the US-Israel war on Iran

Sunday marks 100 days into a warfare that US President Donald Trump said was going to decorativeness “very fast”.

Despite a ceasefire agreed connected April 8, the Strait of Hormuz remains mostly closed, sporadic occurrence continues, and talks person repeatedly collapsed.

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In this ocular explainer, Al Jazeera tracks the archetypal 100 days of the war, from the fig of radical killed and displaced, to the daze to the planetary system and the prospects for a deal.

At slightest 7,000 radical killed

More radical person present been killed successful Lebanon than successful Iran, the war’s archetypal target.

Preliminary figures amusement at least 3,593 radical confirmed killed successful Lebanon, 3,468 successful Iran and 29 successful Gulf states, with 26 Israelis and 13 US soldiers besides killed successful Iranian attacks since the commencement of the US-Israel warfare connected Iran.

Figures whitethorn alteration owed to the evolving concern arsenic much accusation becomes available.

(Al Jazeera)

Israel occupies a 5th of Lebanon

Despite a abstracted ceasefire successful Lebanon that took effect connected April 17, Israel continues to lb the country’s south.

Israeli attacks person displaced much than 1 cardinal Lebanese people, with Prime Minister Nawaf Salam describing the penetration arsenic “a scorched-earth argumentation and corporate punishment”, destroying towns and villages, and forcing their inhabitants into exile.

As of June 1, Israeli forces had reached the outskirts of Nabatieh, a metropolis successful confederate Lebanon. In doing so, they captured Beaufort Castle, marking the deepest advancement into Lebanon successful much than 25 years. Israeli forces present inhabit astir a 5th of the state – 2,000 quadrate kilometres (770 quadrate miles).

Israel had claimed its nonsubjective successful Lebanon was to region cardinal Hezbollah fighters southbound of the Litani River adjacent to its border. However, the subject is operating acold past that line, with forced displacement orders arsenic acold arsenic the Zahrani River, which is immoderate 10km (six miles) northbound of the Litani.

In the archetypal 2 weeks of the war, much than 3 cardinal Iranians were besides displaced arsenic US-Israeli attacks bombarded cardinal infrastructure and civilian sites successful the country.

Strait of Hormuz: From 100 ships regular to 7

Since the opening of the war, hundreds of ships person been stranded successful the Strait of Hormuz, a strategical waterway done which one-fifth of planetary lipid and state antecedently flowed.

[Al Jazeera]

According to ship-tracking data, astir 607 ships person crossed done the strait betwixt February 28 and May 31 – an mean of astir 7 per time – acold beneath the astir 100 regular transits earlier the war.

With the strait closed, planetary lipid stockpiles were drawn down astatine a grounds pace, triggering fears of depletion arsenic the struggle extended. Furthermore, the US has imposed its ain blockade of Iranian ports since mid-April, further disrupting commercialized shipping successful the waterway.

With tankers incapable to permission the strait, it has meant longer voyage distances, reduced vas availability connected cardinal routes, and higher freight rates.

146 countries person accrued petrol prices

Energy markets person been shaken by the war, with lipid prices astir doubling implicit the past 3 months.

The International Energy Agency (IEA), an intergovernmental organisation that tracks planetary vigor markets, described the disruption arsenic the largest vigor daze connected record.

Before the war, Brent crude, the planetary benchmark for lipid prices, outgo astir $70 per barrel. A week into the war, prices crossed $100 for the archetypal clip since 2022, yet peaking astatine astir $120 earlier settling backmost to astir $100, wherever they stay today.

Central to these lipid swings successful peculiar was the societal media enactment of President Trump, whose posts connected Truth Social often triggered multibillion-dollar swings successful lipid futures.

Ordinary radical person already been affected by higher prices astatine the pump. According to an Al Jazeera tally, astatine slightest 146 countries person reported increases successful petrol prices since precocious February.

Asian countries, which import immoderate 60 percent of their lipid from the Gulf, are facing the highest costs astatine the petrol station, with countries similar Myanmar seeing a petrol terms summation of much than 90 percent successful the archetypal 3 months of the conflict.

In Africa, Nigerians are paying much than 50 percent much for their petrol, portion successful immoderate Latin American countries similar Peru, costs of filling up a vessel are 40 percent higher than earlier the war.

Very fewer countries person been shielded from the interaction of the warfare connected Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

It’s not conscionable petrol prices that are rising, lipid and state are earthy materials for thousands of mundane products, from h2o bottles and nutrient packaging to laundry detergents.

[Al Jazeera]

The planetary nutrient proviso is fundamentally built connected earthy state successful the signifier of fertilisers, utilized to heighten harvest yields and guarantee that nutrient accumulation tin conscionable demand. As a result, nutrient prices person moved successful lockstep with vigor prices, affecting each signifier of the nutrient proviso concatenation from the fertilisers utilized successful the fields to the trucks that transportation nutrient from the fields to supermarket shelves.

While lipid majors benefited from higher prices, if they stay elevated, it risks the system going into a tailspin and perchance into a recession.

“It’s inactive excessively aboriginal to find the afloat interaction of the war,” Hadi Kahalzadeh, non-resident chap astatine Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, told Al Jazeera. “We cognize that it has contracted the planetary GDP, raised inflation, and raised concerns astir slower growth, higher inflation, and the hazard of a caller economical downturn [as reflected successful estimates from the IMF, World Bank, and OECD]. Higher energy, fertiliser, and cardinal metallic prices accrued concern and cultivation input costs, negatively affecting maturation and inflation. But the implicit effects connected planetary proviso chains stay unknown.”

Global markets pulled backmost initially

Global equity markets pulled backmost sharply initially, with the S&P 500, a benchmark scale for the US banal market, dropping 9.1 percent done precocious March from erstwhile highs arsenic investors factored successful a planetary vigor daze and risks of a wider determination war.

As the warfare has progressed, planetary equity markets person moved successful effect to diplomatic signals and adjacent President Trump’s societal media signalling, with indices falling and recovering connected escalation and ceasefire rumours respectively, which has besides led to marketplace manipulation allegations, which person not been proved.

“There person been superior questions astir suspicious marketplace movements astir large Trump announcements connected Iran and the war. US regulators person reportedly looked into immoderate of these trades,” Kahalzadeh told Al Jazeera.

“There are besides broader concerns astir conflicts of interest, particularly astir radical adjacent to Trump and their fiscal relationships successful the Middle East.”

European indices specified arsenic the FTSE 100, Euro Stoxx 600 and the German DAX  fared a batch worse, falling hard successful aboriginal March owed to European economies’ reliance connected oil, fixed their energy-intensive industries.

Asian markets, which beryllium heavy connected Gulf oil, were deed hardest of all, with the Nikkei suffering immoderate of its deepest single-day losses astatine the onset of the war. At the extremity of April, erstwhile Pakistan was mediating ceasefire talks, the Nikkei roseate sharply, but by mid-May, erstwhile some countries exchanged fire, it had slumped.

Global equity markets person been caught betwixt an inflationary daze caused by vigor prices and a secular bull marketplace successful artificial quality infrastructure.

Despite the war, the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 person reached grounds highs truthful acold this year, driven by a beardown “AI semis boom”.

Several rounds of talks, nary deal

Twice now, warfare has breached retired successful the mediate of negotiations – archetypal successful June 2025, and again connected February 28, 2026, erstwhile the US and Israel struck Iran portion talks were inactive nether way.

Ceasefire takes effect (April 8)

The United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire brokered by Pakistan. The woody was intended to intermission warring and reopen diplomatic negotiations, portion Iran agreed to let shipping done the Strait of Hormuz.

Within hours, Israel launched much than 100 aerial strikes crossed Lebanon, sidesplitting much than 250 people.

Smoke rises pursuing Israeli aerial strikes implicit Beirut and its confederate suburbs connected April 8, 2026 [Anwar Amro/AFP]

Talks successful Islamabad (April 11–12)

The archetypal superior rounds of negotiations to extremity the warfare took spot successful Pakistan betwixt April 11–12.

Iran and the US met successful Islamabad for talks that yet collapsed implicit the atomic question – Trump said that “most points were agreed to, but the lone constituent that mattered, nuclear, was not.”

Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif meets with Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, arsenic delegations from the United States and Iran are expected to clasp bid talks, successful Islamabad, Pakistan, April 11, 2026. [Handout/Reuters]

Iran rejected the US presumption and issued a counter-proposal, which Trump aboriginal dismissed arsenic “garbage”, informing the ceasefire was connected “life support”. The US promptly announced a naval blockade connected Iranian shipping.

Left to right, US Vice President JD Vance meets Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif during their gathering connected April 11, 2026, astatine Islamabad, Pakistan [Jacquelyn Martin/Pool/Getty Images]

Lack of spot successful post-ceasefire negotiations

Omar Rahman, a chap astatine the Middle East Council connected Global Affairs, explained however an extremity to the warfare is perchance near, but it’s inactive unfastened to mentation depending connected who leaves room.

“A narrower statement that’s elaborate is going to beryllium overmuch harder to reach,” Rahman told Al Jazeera.

“He [Trump] relies connected non-professionals to negociate connected large issues, and it’s not producing anything. He wants to constitute 10 points, hold connected 10 points connected the backmost of a napkin, not negociate a hammered-out elaborate statement that’s going to clasp implicit time”.

“I deliberation the Iranians are precise conscious of that. They don’t spot the United States, they don’t spot Trump to comply with immoderate statement that helium signs successful the future,” says Rahman.

President Trump’s support standing stands astatine 40.3 percent successful the RealClearPolitics polling mean arsenic of June 2, portion 57 percent of Americans disapprove of his occupation performance, marking a nett quality of 16.7 points. It signals a notable descent from earlier the US-Israeli strikes connected Iran.