Wimbledon: Naomi Osaka vs. Karolina Muchova - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

About a fortnight aft their Bad Homburg final, first-time Wimbledon quarter-finalist Naomi Osaka takes connected Karolina Muchova for a spot successful the semi-final.

Osaka impressively took down satellite No 1 Aryna Sabalenka for her archetypal Championships triumph connected Centre Court, portion Muchova bushed compatriot and 2024 champion Barbora Krejcikova to beforehand to a 3rd last-eight lucifer astatine the All England Club.

Match preview

Osaka has ne'er been fond of the grass, but this twelvemonth has shown the erstwhile No 1 ranked subordinate what is imaginable connected the surface.

Reaching her archetypal tour-level rubric lucifer connected the aboveground past period successful Bad Homburg, earlier a ft wounded forced a retirement, the Japanese superstar has carried that momentum into her sixth quality astatine the Championships, wherever she had antecedently ne'er played a fourth-round lucifer earlier this year.

The four-time Grand Slam champion has gone 1 measurement further, with the 28-year-old reeling disconnected 4 much grass-court wins implicit Elsa Jacquemot, Anastasia Gasanova, Daria Kasatkina and Sabalenka, the second of which ended her agelong hold for a Centre Court triumph astatine SW19.

Now into her 2nd quarter-final astatine a Major since returning from the commencement of her girl Shai, the seven-time WTA champion aims to lucifer past year's semi-final tally astatine the US Open.

Osaka heads into different quarter-final caller disconnected becoming the archetypal subordinate since Victoria Azarenka successful 2020 to bushed Sabalenka successful consecutive sets astatine a Slam, and she present aims to close the wrongs of her Bad Homburg misfortune by getting her revenge against Muchova.

The Czech star's crippled has ever been suited to the grass, with her assortment and alteration of gait ostensibly giving her an edge; however, carnal limitations person meant that the three-time WTA titleholder has failed to physique connected a beardown commencement to her Wimbledon career.

Muchova made the quarter-finals successful 2019 and 2021, but has since exited successful 4 consecutive tourney openers, a losing tally she has present halted, and past some.

The 29-year-old has notched 8 consecutive grass-court wins since losing to Madison Keys successful Berlin, including 1 implicit Osaka to clinch lone the 3rd tour-level rubric of her career.

While Muchova had sauntered done the gully successful the archetypal 3 rounds, Sunday presented the two-time quarter-finalist's archetypal scare, though she came done aft responding to losing steam successful acceptable 2 to bushed 2024 champion Krejcikova 7-5, 5-7, 6-3.

Having suffered straight-set losses to Elina Svitolina and Angelique Kerber successful 2019 and 2021, the satellite No 9 aims to beryllium third-time fortunate by beating Osaka successful a rematch of their Bad Homburg rubric match.

Tournament truthful far

Naomi Osaka

First round: vs. Elsa Jacquemot 6-1 7-5

Second round: vs. Anastasia Gasanova 6-3 6-2

Third round: vs. Daria Kasatkina 6-1 6-3

Fourth round: vs. Aryna Sabalenka 6-2 7-6(2)

Karolina Muchova

First round: vs. Anastasia Zakharova 6-3 6-2

Second round: vs. Zhang Shuai 6-3 6-2

Third round: vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-2 7-6(1)

Fourth round: vs. Barbora Krejcikova 7-5 5-7 6-3

Head To Head

Bad Homburg Open (2026) - Final: Muchova 6-1 1-0 ret.

US Open (2025) - Quarter-final: Osaka 6-4 7-6(3)

Australian Open (2025) - Second round: Osaka 1-6 6-1 6-3

US Open (2024) - Second round: Muchova 6-3 7-6(5)

Madrid Open (2021) - Round of 32: Muchova 6-4 3-6 6-1  

Cincinnati (2020) - Round of 32: Osaka 6-7(5) 6-4 6-2

Osaka and Muchova person faced disconnected 4 times connected the circuit since the Japanese star's return, splitting those meetings, conscionable arsenic they had done successful some matchups earlier her hiatus.

Although a ft wounded halted their archetypal brushwood connected grass, Osaka leads 3-2 crossed different surfaces, arsenic good arsenic successful Grand Slam meetings.

While Muchova got the amended of the four-time Major champion successful the 2024 US Open 2nd round, the seven-time WTA champion was victorious successful past year's matchups successful Australia and the United States.

However, it remains to beryllium seen if she repeats the feat successful the players' archetypal gathering astatine a Slam extracurricular of hard courts.

We say: Osaka to triumph successful 3 sets

Fresh disconnected beating apical effect Sabalenka, Osaka is backed to thrust the assurance of a stunning serving show to inflict different Grand Slam decision connected the Czech subordinate and beforehand to a archetypal Wimbledon semi-final.