Why Christian Watson gives Packers an obvious edge over Dallas as our best bet

Cowboys defence has been historically bad and the Packers offence just dominated the Bears, plus our other NFL Week 6 picks.

Published Oct 16, 2026  •  Last updated 19 minutes ago  •  3 minute read

Christian Watson of the Green Bay Packers catches a touchdown pass against Dillon Thieneman of the Chicago Bears. Getty Images

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Seattle -2.5 over DENVER

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After the past few prime time games were offensive dream matchups, this one went the other way — for better or worse. Seattle’s offence has clearly regressed without Klint Kubiak calling plays and Kenneth Walker in the backfield, while Sam Darnold’s turnover issues are back and costing the champs.

Jacksonville -2.5 over Houston in London

The Texans finally picked up their first win of the season, but the hungry Jags will be waiting for them in London. Houston’s passing game is picking things up with Nico Collins back, but Travis Hunter is emerging as a star CB which should make for a great matchup.

INDIANAPOLIS -6.5 over Tennessee

It’s a lot of points to be spotting with this Colts team, but there’s just no way you can put money on the Titans getting less than a touchdown against anyone.

Carolina -3.5 over PHILADELPHIA

If we’re taking one thing from that blown opportunity against the Jags, it’s that Jordan Davis is back to being the game-wrecker that Philly needs on defence. But, with the Eagles losing Jalen Hurts to a blood clot, we’re not betting that this offence can outscore a team coming off its bye.

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Pittsburgh -2.5 over TAMPA BAY

Watching Jalon Daniels beat the Cowboys was a nice but the Steelers defence should provide a much different story for the undrafted rookie.

CLEVELAND +4.5 over Baltimore

Lamar Jackson could be back for this one, but how effective will be running after that ankle injury? Cleveland’s new coach Todd Monken also came directly from the Ravens staff and should know a thing or two on how to counter them.

NEW YORK GIANTS +1.5 over New Orleans

Just what about the Saints that we’ve seen so far should lead anyone to believe they should be spotting points on the road? Especially heading outdoors as the weather starts to cool down. Jameis Winston isn’t perfect for the Giants, but he’s good enough to make things happen.

ATLANTA +1.5 over Chicago

As long as there’s uncertainty over Caleb Williams suiting up for Chicago, we’ll have to take the Falcons here. Michael Penix Jr. has been practising in full, which quells fears that there might’ve been another Tua Tagovailoa appearance.

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New York Jets +7.5 over NEW ENGLAND

Momentum has swing hard in the Patriots favour, but we’re not about to discount the Jets in a rivalry game. New York so far has proven that it’s not going to be the laughingstock it has in recent years.

L.A. RAMS -12.5 over Arizona

On one hand, you have a division rivalry match featuring a team coming off a Monday night OT game. But on the other, you have a Cardinals side that is looking worse by the week and has injuries mounting.

KANSAS CITY -8.5 over L.A. Chargers

The Chargers just seem like a lost cause at this point and should be looking forward to their bye week, which some changes could be looming. K.C. is coming off its bye and we all know Andy Reid boasts an excellent record with extra time to prepare.

LAS VEGAS +4.5 over Buffalo

Going against a team that played overtime on Monday Night Football is usually a profitable play. While the Bills no doubt have the Raiders well covered in terms of overall talent, the fatigue factor and Buffalo’s defensive faults slant things towards the hosts.

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GREEN BAY* -1.5 over Dallas

In case you need a reminder, Dallas’ defence has been historically bad – even worse than last year – and the Packers kind of just showed that things might be alright while dominating the Bears. Christian Watson has emerged as one of the league’s top targets while the Packers defence did an excellent job at shutting down Ben Johnson’s vaunted attack. The Cowboys also haven’t beaten Green Bay in their past six games, dating back to 2016.

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SAN FRANCISCO -7.5 over Washington

That complete lack of awareness to end overtime last week was damning for the Commanders. Jayden Daniels proved that he’s not afraid to run with the ball after that gruesome arm injury, but this offence just can’t keep up with what the 49ers have going on.

Last week: 8-7

This season: 36-43

Best bets: 2-3

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