What’s Iran’s 14-point proposal to end the war? And will Trump accept it?

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Iran has offered a caller 14-point connection to the United States successful the latest diplomatic measurement to scope a imperishable extremity to the war, which has exposed the limits of US subject dominance and shaken the planetary economy.

Responding to the caller connection connected Saturday, US President Donald Trump said helium is studying it but is not definite helium tin marque a woody with Iran, a time aft helium voiced vexation with a erstwhile connection from Tehran done the mediator Pakistan.

What is Iran’s 14-point connection to extremity the war?

According to Iranian media reports, Tehran’s caller connection came successful effect to a Washington-backed nine-point bid proposal, which chiefly sought a two-month ceasefire.

However, successful its latest bid proposal, Iran said it wants to absorption connected ending the warfare alternatively of extending the truce and wants each issues resolved wrong 30 days.

The caller connection calls for guarantees against aboriginal attacks, a withdrawal of US forces from astir Iran, the merchandise of frozen Iranian assets worthy billions of dollars and the lifting of sanctions, warfare reparations, ending each hostilities, including successful Lebanon, and “a caller mechanics for the Strait of Hormuz”.

Iran, which was besides attacked by the US and Israel past June, wants a warrant against aboriginal aggression. Israel has antecedently targeted Iranian atomic scientists and tally campaigns to sabotage its atomic sites.

Tehran besides wants its close to uranium enrichment guaranteed arsenic a signatory to the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), but Trump has made the atomic contented a “red line”. Iran wants decades of sanctions, which person devastated its economy, to beryllium lifted arsenic portion of immoderate deal. The navigation done the strait and demands for warfare reparations are different sticking points successful the talks.

According to a study by Iranian authorities broadcaster IRIB, aft delivering the proposal, Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi said, “Now the shot is successful the United States’ tribunal to take the way of diplomacy oregon the continuation of a confrontational approach.”

Paul Musgrave, an subordinate prof of authorities astatine Georgetown University successful Qatar, said Iran has “slightly softened” its proposal.

“The quality reports connected it bespeak that determination is simply a flimsy softening successful the proposal, oregon alternatively a run-up to discussing the proposal, namely that the Iranian broadside whitethorn person fixed up its precondition that the US cease its distant blockade of Iranian postulation [in the Strait of Hormuz],” helium told Al Jazeera.

“Beyond that, though, a batch of the things that are reportedly successful the connection see maintaining Iran’s sovereign quality to enrich uranium, its atomic programme and, of course, what it delicately refers to arsenic a ‘control mechanism’ implicit shipping successful the Strait of Hormuz.”

Musgrave said connected the 2 biggest issues – enrichment of uranium and transferring its highly enriched uranium – the US and Iran stay “far apart”.

“President Trump has been unyielding that Iran indispensable surrender its atomic capability,” helium said.

Kenneth Katzman, a elder chap astatine New York-based nonprofit Soufan Center, said Iran’s mistrust of Trump remains a bigger obstacle.

“The differences connected the atomic issues are really … not that large a quality immoderate more. It’s inactive substantial, but tin beryllium narrowed. The contented is that Iran truly mistrusts Trump and the United States and does not privation to move, really, into afloat treatment until this blockade is lifted,” helium said.

“That’s a occupation that could pb to US escalation. As Trump knows, helium indispensable interruption this Iranian power of the strait, truthful that’s wherever the contented is.”

Katzman said portion some sides are “frustrated”, neither is apt to springiness up connected the negotiations successful the contiguous future.

How did the US respond?

Trump has said helium is reviewing Iran’s proposal, but warned that Washington could resume attacks if Tehran “misbehaves”.

Speaking to reporters successful Florida earlier boarding Air Force One connected Saturday, Trump confirmed that helium had been briefed connected the “concept of the deal”.

Despite the diplomatic opening, the president struck a characteristically blunt code regarding the anticipation of renewed hostilities, which person been paused since the ceasefire.

“If they bash thing bad, determination is simply a anticipation it could happen,” Trump said erstwhile asked if strikes would resume.

Trump added that the US was “doing precise well” and claimed that Iran was hopeless for a colony due to the fact that the state had been “decimated” by months of struggle and a naval blockade.

Trita Parsi from the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft told Al Jazeera the economical outgo of the blockade connected Iranian ports has exceeded what the White House anticipated and argued that the broader strategical harm to the US was astir apt much significant.

“Iran has been nether each kinds of economical unit and sanctions for 47 years,” Parsi told Al Jazeera. “None of them has managed to interruption the Iranians oregon unit them to capitulate,” helium said.

In a station connected Truth Social aboriginal connected Saturday, Trump said it was hard to ideate that the Iranian connection would beryllium acceptable arsenic Tehran had “not yet paid a large capable terms for what they person done to Humanity, and the World, implicit the past 47 years”.

Trump seems to person rejected the caller Iranian connection “without speechmaking it oregon being briefed connected it”, according to Musgrave from Georgetown University.

What are the erstwhile bid proposals to extremity the conflict?

Iran’s latest connection comes amid a fragile three-week truce that came into effect connected April 8 and has enactment a intermission connected the US-Israel warfare connected Iran.

A time earlier the ceasefire, Iran had projected a 10-point bid plan, which included an extremity to conflicts successful the region, a protocol for harmless transition done the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of sanctions and reconstruction, state-run quality bureau IRNA reported.

Trump had said Iran’s 10-point program was a “significant proposal” but “not bully enough”.

The April 7 connection from Iran came successful effect to a 15-point plan drafted by the US connected March 25.

Washington’s program included a one-month ceasefire portion the 2 sides negotiated presumption to extremity the war, via Pakistan.

According to Israel’s Channel 12, it besides included the dismantling of Iran’s atomic facilities successful Natanz, Isfahan and Fordow, a imperishable committedness from Iran to ne'er make atomic weapons, the handover of Iran’s stockpile of already enriched uranium to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), a committedness from Iran to let the United Nations watchdog to show each elements of the country’s remaining atomic infrastructure, reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and extremity of each sanctions connected Iran, alongside the ending of the UN mechanics that allows sanctions to beryllium reimposed.

Iran, however, rejected this program and said a impermanent ceasefire would springiness the US and Israel clip to regroup and motorboat further attacks and successful crook projected its 10-point plan.

What is the concern connected the crushed now?

Despite a ceasefire, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said connected Saturday that it remains connected “full standby” for a instrumentality to hostilities, citing the US’s deficiency of committedness to erstwhile treaties.

In a station connected X connected Sunday, the IRGC’s quality portion said, “There is lone 1 mode to work this: Trump indispensable take betwixt an intolerable subject cognition oregon a atrocious woody with the Islamic Republic of Iran. The country for US decision-making has narrowed.”

The impasse is further analyzable by method obstacles to reopening the Strait of Hormuz, including the beingness of Iranian oversea mines. Tehran has closed the strait since the warfare began connected February 28, upending planetary lipid and state prices.

To unit Iran to unfastened the strait, the US imposed a blockade of each Iranian ports connected April 13, stoking the lipid and state crisis. On Friday, Brent crude, the planetary benchmark, was astatine $111.29 per tube astatine 08:08 GMT, compared with astir $65 earlier the war.

Tensions person been further stoked by Trump’s caller characterisation of the US naval blockade arsenic a “very profitable business”.

“We took implicit the cargo. Took implicit the oil, a precise profitable business. Who would person thought, we’re benignant of similar pirates, but we’re not playing games,” Trump said astatine an lawsuit successful the US authorities of Florida connected Saturday.

Tehran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs seized connected the remarks, labelling them a “damning admittance of piracy”.

Parsi from the Quincy Institute told Al Jazeera the US naval blockade of Iran has backfired connected Trump and is making the concern worse.

“The negotiations were taking spot and could person continued careless of the blockade,” helium said.

“The blockade has thing to bash with the Iranians being astatine the table. If anything, it is blocking diplomatic advancement much than thing else,” Parsi noted.

He argued that Trump had really secured his top vantage done diplomacy earlier the blockade was imposed.

“Once helium managed to get the ceasefire, the superior unit connected him, the warfare itself and the mode it was pushing up state prices, was lifted. Had helium stayed successful that script and utilized clip to his advantage, helium would person been successful a overmuch stronger presumption vis-a-vis the Iranians, due to the fact that the Iranians had not managed to get the cardinal happening they wanted: sanctions relief.”

Instead, by imposing the blockade, Trump took much lipid disconnected the market.

“Oil prices are present higher during the ceasefire than they were during the warfare itself. All of these economical indicators amusement that the blockade is making the concern worse for Trump,” Parsi said.

However, Trump has been looking astatine options to resoluteness the lipid crisis, including mounting up a naval conjugation called the Maritime Freedom Construct (MFC) to reconstruct state of navigation successful the Strait of Hormuz.

According to US media reports, halfway functions of the naval conjugation would beryllium to stock quality among subordinate nations, coordinate diplomatic efforts, and enforce sanctions to negociate shipping postulation done the strait.

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