US Open: Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

Aiming to beryllium the archetypal progressive American subordinate to scope the quarter-finals of each Grand Slam, Tommy Paul takes connected in-form defending US Open champion Carlos Alcaraz successful Sunday's fourth-round match.

The 20th effect overcame Alexander Bublik successful 5 thrilling sets to acceptable up a ninth ATP Tour gathering with Alcaraz, who did not person it each his ain mode successful Friday's triumph implicit Wu Yibing.

Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz lucifer preview

Alcaraz entered the 4th Slam of 2026 amid sizeable uncertainty, having not played competitory tennis since April, but the defending champion has played admirably successful rounds one, 2 and 3 to scope the past 16 successful Queens.

By beating Roman Safiulin, Jaime Faria and Wu Yibing, the Spanish sensation has present won 10 consecutive matches successful Flushing and 17 astatine Majors overall, including his tally to the Australian Open rubric successful January to seal the Career Grand Slam Down Under.

Friday's occurrence was not a emblematic Alcaraz performance, arsenic his hostile made things awkward with dense hitting that created respective openings connected the 23-year-old's serve.

However, the seven-time Slam champion did likewise connected the Chinese player's deliveries, yet converting much of his chances successful cardinal moments to spot disconnected Wu 6-3, 6-4, 6-1.

Having present improved to a 90% triumph complaint successful New York, Alcaraz seeks different triumph to amended his 27-3 grounds astatine the lawsuit and beforehand to yet different quarter-final lucifer astatine this level, which would beryllium his sixth successful a enactment since 2024's daze second-round exit successful the United States.

Marathon antheral Paul stands successful his way, with the American entering Sunday's tussle caller disconnected a turnaround triumph implicit Bublik to avenge past year's decision to the Kazakhstani star.

After trailing against the 15th seed, Paul faced different third-round exit astatine his location Major; however, helium responded commendably to unafraid sets 4 and five.

Now into the 4th circular successful Flushing for the 3rd time, the 29-year-old hopes to yet interruption caller crushed by reaching the quarters successful Queens.

Previous runs to this signifier person ended successful decision to Ben Shelton successful 2023 and to eventual champion Jannik Sinner successful 2024, and the erstwhile satellite No. 8 faces an uphill situation to go the lone progressive subordinate from his homeland to person reached the past 8 astatine each starring event.

That would beryllium easier said than done, fixed his losing grounds against the Spaniard, who has shown a higher level than anticipated successful his bid to assertion an eighth Grand Slam crown.

Tournament truthful far

Tommy Paul:

First round: vs. Coleman Wong 6-7(3) 6-1 6-3 6-3

Second round: vs. Dino Prizmic 6-2 6-3 5-7 6-4

Third round: vs. Alexander Bublik 6-4 3-6 6-7(4) 6-1 6-3

Carlos Alcaraz:

First round: vs. Roman Safiullin 6-4 6-4 6-4

Second round: vs. Jaime Faria 4-6 6-0 6-3 6-2

Third round: vs. Wu Yibing 6-3 6-4 6-1

Tommy Paul vs. Carlos Alcaraz Head-to-Head

Australian Open (2026) - Fourth round: Alcaraz 7-6(6) 6-4 7-5

French Open (2025) - Quarter-final: Alcaraz 6-0 6-1 6-4

Paris Olympics (2024) - Quarter-final: Alcaraz 6-3 7-6(7)

Wimbledon (2024) - Quarter-final: Alcaraz 5-7 6-4 6-2 6-2

Cincinnati Masters (2023) - Round of 16: Alcaraz 7-6(6) 6-7(0) 6-3

Canadian Open (2023) - Quarter-final: Paul 6-3 4-6 6-3

Miami Open (2023) - Round of 16: Alcaraz 6-4 6-4

Canadian Open (2022) - Round of 32: Paul 6-7(4) 7-6(7) 6-3

Having mislaid 2 of their opening 3 meetings, some defeats coming successful Canada successful 2022 and 2023, Alcaraz has present defeated Paul successful 5 consecutive meetings.

Three of those wins person travel astatine Slams, with Alcaraz needing a turnaround to bushed the 29-year-old astatine Wimbledon earlier sealing straight-set wins astatine the 2025 French Open and this year's Australian Open, and helium present seeks to implicit the acceptable of victories astatine Majors against the erstwhile satellite No. 8.

The 2nd effect has besides notably claimed the past 11 sets successful this matchup, further emphasising his dominance implicit the 20th effect up of their ninth tour-level tussle.

We say: Alcaraz to triumph successful 4 sets

Alcaraz's bid to go the archetypal antheral to clasp the US Open rubric since Roger Federer's 2004-2008 five-peat is going amended than planned, with the Spanish sensation's level undoubtedly awesome to scope the past 16.

While helium whitethorn driblet a acceptable to Paul for the archetypal clip since 2024's Wimbledon matchup, the defending champion is backed to outclass the location anticipation and unafraid a quarter-final berth successful Queens for the 5th time.