Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens- US Open prediction, form, head-to-head

Facing each different successful a Grand Slam singles lawsuit for the archetypal time, Naomi Osaka and Elise Mertens volition beryllium seeking a spot successful the past 16 of the US Open connected Saturday.

To get to this stage, Osaka outlasted Katerina Siniakova successful 3 sets, 6-2 5-7 6-1, portion Mertens defeated Maria Timofeeva 6-2 7-6 (7-5).

Match preview

It took her a decisive 3rd set, but Osaka successful the extremity persevered successful circular two, advancing to the 3rd circular of a Grand Slam singles lawsuit for a sixth successive occasion.

The 13th effect has been ascendant connected her service each tourney long, with 11 aces successful some of her encounters.

Meanwhile, she has won astatine slightest 75% of her archetypal serves to this constituent of the US Open, portion lone conceding 3 aces overall.

As for the instrumentality game, she has managed to person 10 of her interruption constituent opportunities with 40 oregon much receiving points successful her 2 outings.

Osaka has not mislaid a third-round singles lucifer astatine Flushing Meadows since 2021, eliminating Daria Kasatkina successful 3 sets astatine this signifier a twelvemonth ago.

The two-time US Open champion has precocious beyond the 3rd circular successful 3 of her past 4 large tourney appearances connected the singles draw.

We person seen 2 coagulated all-around matches for Elise Mertens truthful acold astatine this tourney arsenic she seeks to beforehand into circular 4 of the US Open connected Saturday for the archetypal clip since 2024.

The Belgian has mislaid 2 of her past 3 third-round affairs astatine this lawsuit but won her lone 2 Grand Slam singles outings astatine that signifier this year.

Her wide work crippled is simply a large crushed wherefore she is inactive here, with the 30-year-old winning implicit 75% of her archetypal and 2nd serves successful some of her matches.

Mertens has converted six of her break-point opportunities wide portion giving up lone 2 interruption points frankincense far.

In circular two, she was overmuch little error-prone, committing conscionable 3 treble faults aft registering six successful circular one.

Her past 2 defeats astatine this signifier of the US Open occurred contempt Mertens winning the opening set, including a nonaccomplishment against Cristina Busca successful this signifier past year.

Tournament truthful far

Naomi Osaka:

First round: vs. Anastaasia Zakharova 7-6 (8-6) 7-6 (7-3)

Second round: vs. Katerina Siniakova 6-2 5-7 6-1

Elise Mertens:

First round: vs. Kaitlin Quevedo 6-4 6-4

Second round: vs. Maria Timofeeva 6-2 7-6 (7-5)

Head To Head

Wuhan Open (2017) - Round of 32: Mertens wins 6-1 1-6 6-4

Japan Open (2019) - Semi-finals: Osaka wins 6-4 6-1

Cincinnati Open (2020) - Semi-finals: Osaka wins 6-2 7-6

Gippsland Open (2021) - Semi-finals: Mertens wins successful a walkover

Miami Open (2021) - Round of 16: Osaka wins 6-3 6-3

Indian Wells Masters (2024) - Round of 32: Mertens wins 7-5 6-4

Hertogenbosch Open (2024) - Round of 32: Osaka wins 6-2 6-4

National Bank Open (2024) - Round of 32: Mertens wins 6-3 6-4

Bad Homburg Open (2026) - Round of 16: Osaka wins 6-3 6-3

National Bank Open (2026) - Round of 32: Osaka wins 6-1 6-2

After they had each won erstwhile successful their archetypal 2 meetings, Osaka took the bid pb successful Cincinnati, converting 5 interruption points portion Mertens lone converted 3 of her 21 opportunities connected that occasion.

In Australia successful 2021, Mertens evened the singles bid betwixt them, winning via a walkover en way to lifting the trophy successful the adjacent match.

When they met again successful Miami that year, Osaka reclaimed the bid lead, arsenic Mertens registered 9 treble faults, portion the Japanese prima won 66% of her archetypal serves.

Mertens claimed different triumph 3 years later, converting 5 interruption constituent opportunities and winning 64% of her 2nd serves astatine the Indian Wells Masters.

In the Netherlands successful 2024, Osaka won a singular 90% of her archetypal serves versus the Belgian portion converting 3 interruption points successful a comfy victory.

The past gathering betwixt the 2 occurred successful Canada this year, erstwhile Osaka triumped again, winning 86% of her archetypal serves portion converting fractional of her break-point opportunities.

We say: Mertens to triumph successful 3 sets

She hasn't had overmuch occurrence against her lately, but we person a hunch that Mertens is owed and volition beryllium connected constituent with her service and groundstrokes to triumph a adjacent one.