Middle East oil exports surpass pre-war levels despite tensions, data shows

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IRGC commandant says lipid flows done US-supervised way successful Hormuz are ‘negligible’.

Published On 5 Oct 2026

Crude lipid exports from the Middle East person risen supra pre-war levels connected 4 of the 7 days successful the past week of September, provisional information from ship-tracking steadfast Kpler showed.

However, elder Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commandant Ali Fadavi said successful a televised interrogation connected Sunday nighttime that lone 3 to 4 cardinal barrels of lipid per time (bpd) are present moving done the route, dismissing the magnitude arsenic “negligible” erstwhile compared with pre-war traffic.

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Fadavi said, for the archetypal time, nary US vessels were contiguous successful the Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, the Sea of Oman oregon adjacent the bluish Indian Ocean and US warships are “100 percent vulnerable” to IRGC attacks.

Kpler information showed crude exports from the portion exceeded pre-war levels connected September 24 and betwixt September 27 and 29, rising to 19.5-22.5 cardinal bpd.

Around that time, Iran claimed success successful attacking ships – including US Navy vessels – adjacent the Strait of Hormuz, saying the strikes had forced Washington to determination its warships further from the Iranian coast.

Before the US-Israel warfare connected Iran began, exports averaged 18 cardinal bpd betwixt March 2025 and February 2026.

According to Kpler data, the wide tally for crude, lipid products, chemicals and non-gas liquids averaged 22.4 cardinal bpd successful the 7 days to September 30.

On October 1, the seven-day moving mean for crude exports was astatine 18.5 cardinal bpd. This includes transits via the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, exports from terminals and ship-to-ship transfers successful the Gulf of Oman.

The fig of liquefied earthy state cargoes exiting the Strait of Hormuz besides roseate successful September to its highest monthly level since February.

The figures exclude immoderate vessels that mightiness person crossed the strait with their automatic recognition strategy transponders turned disconnected to debar detection.

The United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations bureau reported astatine slightest 1 onslaught a time successful the Strait of Hormuz oregon successful the Gulf of Aden since October 2.

On Sunday, Iran’s apical negotiator and parliament speaker, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, said the Strait of Hormuz would remain closed until the United States accepts Tehran’s seven-day plan to reopen the waterway.

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