Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs. Marta Kostyuk - prediction, head-to-head, tournament so far

Marta Kostyuk volition vie for the biggest rubric of her vocation connected Saturday erstwhile she faces Mirra Andreeva successful the Madrid Open final.

Already victorious against the Russian teen earlier this year, Kostyuk volition anticipation for a repetition against the in-form satellite No. 8, who is seeking her 3rd vocation WTA 1000 title.

Match preview

After a mixed commencement to 2026, which featured a beardown opening tally en way to winning the Adelaide rubric aft falling to Kostyuk successful the Brisbane quarter-final, Andreeva past exited successful the 4th circular of the Australian Open and Miami, having been eliminated a circular earlier successful Indian Wells.

Following a below-par defence of her WTA 1000 titles successful Dubai and Indian Wells, the clay play has been timely for the 19-year-old Russian, who has claimed the WTA 500 crown successful Linz, reached the semi-finals successful Strasbourg earlier losing to eventual champion Elena Rybakina and surged to a maiden title lucifer astatine Caja Magica.

Dropping lone 1 acceptable en way to her 3rd last of 2026, Andreeva has besides had to play clutch tennis successful respective tie-breaks, winning 3 shootouts successful a enactment against Anna Bondar, Leylah Fernandez and Hailey Baptiste successful the 4th round, quarter-finals and semi-finals, respectively.

These wins person seen the erstwhile satellite No. 5 amended to 26-7 for the season, and the first-time Madrid Open finalist is seeking a 27th triumph to clinch her 3rd 1000-level rubric connected the women’s circuit and sixth overall.

Unbeaten successful rubric matches astatine this level, Andreeva, who has emulated Maria Sharapova arsenic the youngest subordinate since 2005 to scope WTA 1000 finals connected aggregate surfaces and Caroline Wozniacki arsenic the archetypal teen to instrumentality portion successful 3 1000-level events since 2009, present seeks to proceed her 100% grounds astatine the disbursal of her Ukrainian opponent.

This is each caller to Kostyuk, who enters her archetypal WTA 1000 last astatine 23, riding the question of an awesome unbeaten run.

Since losing to Rybakina successful Indian Wells and Miami, the 23-year-old has reeled disconnected 11 wins successful a enactment — 10 victories excluding the BJK Cup — to assertion the rubric successful Rouen and beforehand to Saturday’s final.

Heading into this weekend’s title lucifer with 11 clay-court wins nether her belt, 1 less than Andreeva (12), the satellite No. 23 cannot kick astir a deficiency of lucifer signifier oregon rhythm. With each those wins coming connected the bounce, the erstwhile satellite No. 16 astir apt edges Andreeva connected momentum, and she aims to exploit a tally that has seen her notch 11 of her season’s 17 victories connected the dirt.

Having yet dropped a acceptable successful the semi-final against Anastasia Potapova aft 4 straight-set wins implicit Yulia Putintseva, Jessica Pegula, Caty McNally and Linda Noskova, the 26th effect overcame the disappointment to seal a 6-2, 1-6, 6-1 last-four occurrence successful 1 hr and 36 minutes.

Now the 3rd Ukrainian aft Elina Svitolina and Anhelina Kalinina to scope a WTA 1000 final, she seeks a affirmative result connected her debut quality astatine this level to assertion the biggest rubric of her career.

Tournament truthful far

Mirra Andreeva

First round: Bye
Second round: vs. Panna Udvardy 7-5 6-2
Third round: vs. Dalma Galfi 6-3 6-2
Fourth round: vs. Anna Bondar 6-7 (5) 6-3 7-6 (5)
Quarterfinals: vs. Leylah Fernandez 7-6 (1) 6-3
Semifinals: vs. Hailey Baptiste 6-4 7-6 (8)

Marta Kostyuk

First round: Bye
Second round: vs. Yulia Putintseva 6-1 6-3
Third round: vs. Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4
Fourth round: vs. Caty McNally 6-2 6-3
Quarter-final: vs. Linda Noskova 7-6 (1) 6-0
Semi-final: vs. Anastasia Potapova 6-2 1-6 6-1

Head To Head

Brisbane (2026) - Quarter-final: Kostyuk 7-6(7) 6-3

Kostyuk and Andreeva person met erstwhile connected the WTA Tour, with the Ukrainian getting the amended of the teen successful 2 choky sets successful Brisbane earlier this season.

There were six breaks of service successful that encounter, with the teen breached 4 times and uncovering joyousness connected her opponent’s deliveries lone twice.

Kostyuk seeks a repetition to unafraid her 3rd tour-level rubric aft precocious ending a tally of 3 consecutive defeats successful title matches to triumph the WTA 250 crown successful Rouen.

While Kostyuk’s different rubric successful 2023 was besides a 250-level tournament, Andreeva has claimed victories astatine WTA 1000, 500 and 250-level events, with an awesome 5-1 grounds successful rubric matches heading into her seventh last connected the women’s tour.

We say: Andreeva to triumph successful 2 sets

While Kostyuk has momentum and already owns a triumph implicit Andreeva this season, this feels similar a lucifer successful which Andreeva’s pedigree connected the bigger signifier tin marque the difference.

Given however composed the Russian teen has been successful unit moments passim the tourney and her unbeaten grounds successful WTA 1000 finals, we are backing the 19-year-old to clinch a sixth vocation rubric connected Saturday.