Madrid Open: Marta Kostyuk vs. Anastasia Potapova- prediction, head to head, tournament so far

The past finalist astatine the 2026 Madrid Open connected the women’s broadside volition beryllium determined connected Thursday erstwhile Marta Kostyuk squares disconnected with Anastasia Potapova.

In the quarter-finals, Kostyuk ousted Linda Noskova 7-6 (7-1) 6-0, portion her upcoming hostile upset Karolina Pliskova 6-1 6-7 (4-7) 6-3.

Match preview

A 2nd successive last is without scope for Marta Kostyuk connected the WTA tour, aft she enactment distant different beardown all-around effort connected Wednesday.

The Ukrainian has yet to suffer a acceptable astatine this year’s Madrid Open, making it a measurement further than she did astatine this tourney successful 2025.

On Wednesday, she won 70% of her archetypal serves and converted 7 of her interruption constituent opportunities, putting her 2 wins distant from claiming a 2nd singles rubric this year.

In 2026, the Ukrainian has not mislaid a semi-final brushwood connected the singles draw, failing to driblet a acceptable successful those 2 anterior appearances.

For the year, she has won 80% of her work games, portion redeeming implicit 60% of her interruption points truthful acold successful 2026.

Her instrumentality crippled has besides been solid, with the 23-year-old winning implicit 45% of her instrumentality points for the twelvemonth and converting adjacent to fractional of her interruption constituent opportunities (46.8%).

Throughout the existent variation of the Madrid Open, Anastasia Potapova has been turning heads with her performances, creating her stock of upsets.

She has go the Cinderella communicative connected the women’s side, ousting a brace of apical 25 players since advancing done the qualification stage.

In her erstwhile match, the Austrian deed 10 aces, portion capturing 7 interruption points, which made up for her 9 treble faults successful that three-set affair.

A triumph for her connected Thursday would people her 2nd quality successful a clay last this year, aft capturing the Upper Austria Ladies Linz Open earlier this month.

Potapova’s 2026 run has been littered with mistakes registering implicit 80 treble faults, though she has rescued much than 60% of her interruption points.

Overall, she has managed to triumph much than 60% of her work games this year, portion collecting conscionable implicit 50% of her work points frankincense far.

Tournament truthful far

Marta Kostyuk:

Round of 64: vs. Yulia Putintseva 6-1 6-3

Round of 32: vs. Jessica Pegula 6-1 6-4

Round of 16: vs. Caty McNally 6-2 6-3

Quarter-final: vs. Linda Noskova 7-6 (7-1) 6-0

Anastasia Potapova:

Qualifier: vs. Teodora Kostovic 6-4 7-5

Qualifier: vs. Sinja Kraus 2-6 7-6 (7-5) 3-6

Round of 64: vs. Zhang Shuai 6-3 6-1

Round of 32: vs. Jelena Ostapenko 4-6 6-4 6-4

Round of 16: vs. Elena Rybakina 7-6 (10-8) 6-4

Quarter-final: vs. Karolina Pliskova 6-1 6-7 (4-7) 6-3

Head To Head

Miami Open (2023) - Round of 64: Potapova wins 6-1 6-3

Birmingham Classic (2023) - Round of 32: Potapova wins 6-7 7-5 6-4

Indian Wells (2024) - Quarter-final: Kostyuk wins 6-4 7-5

Madrid Open (2025) - Round of 16: Kostyuk wins 6-3 6-2

The archetypal gathering betwixt these 2 successful South Beach saw Potapova triumph 89% of her archetypal serves, and converting 4 interruption points en way to an improbable victory.

Later that year, erstwhile they squared disconnected successful Britain, the Austrian won 80% of her archetypal serves and earned 43 receiving points to assertion a constrictive three-set triumph.

In 2024, successful the US, Kostyuk had her archetypal triumph successful the series, collecting 7 interruption points portion winning 75% of her 2nd serves.

The erstwhile clip these 2 met successful Madrid, the Ukrainian managed to adjacent the head-to-head bid with Potapova, acknowledgment to winning 73% of her archetypal serves and boasting 75% connected her 2nd ones.

We say: Kostyuk to triumph successful 3 sets

While Potapova has not been intimidated by large players, her errors passim this tourney could travel backmost to haunt her against a subordinate similar Kostyuk, who has been fundamentally dependable and coagulated done this year’s Madrid Open.