Jessica Pegula vs. Leylah Fernandez- US Open prediction, form, head-to-head

In a rematch from this year’s Miami Open, Jessica Pegula and Leylah Fernandez volition quadrate disconnected successful circular 3 astatine the US Open connected Friday.

Earlier this week, Pegula came distant with a comfy 6-3 6-1 triumph implicit Sofia Kenin, portion her upcoming Canadian hostile bushed Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-4 6-1.

Match preview

After 2 rounds astatine Flushing Meadows, Jessica Pegula looks primed to marque different agelong tally astatine this event, failing to suffer a azygous acceptable frankincense far.

The three-time Grand Slam singles semi-finalist and the US Open runner-up from 2 years agone tin marque circular 4 of this tourney connected Friday for a 4th successive occasion.

She has gotten to this signifier successful portion due to the fact that of her serve, winning 92% of her archetypal serves successful her opener and 86% against Kenin.

Meanwhile, the 32-year-old has yet to concede a azygous interruption point, portion converting 4 successful some of her matches truthful far.

Equally awesome is that she has played comparatively error-free tennis, registering lone 3 treble faults successful the tournament.

Pegula has gone connected to triumph her past 4 third-round affairs astatine Grand Slam singles tournaments and has not mislaid a lucifer astatine this signifier of the US Open since Belinda Bencic bushed her successful consecutive sets successful 2021.

Following a bid of disappointing results connected the Grand Slam circuit this year, Leylah Fernandez seems to person regained her assurance astatine this event.

She was eliminated successful circular 1 of her archetypal 3 Grand Slam singles tournaments successful 2026 but is done to the 3rd circular astatine the US Open for a 2nd successive year.

On Friday she tin extremity a three-match losing tally successful circular 3 of a large singles tourney and beforehand beyond that signifier astatine Flushing Meadows for the archetypal clip since finishing arsenic the runner-up successful 2021.

So acold astatine this year’s US Open, the Montreal autochthonal has been beardown astatine the instrumentality game, converting a full of 9 interruption points, including six of her 8 opportunities successful circular two.

Fernandez has won implicit 65% of her archetypal serves successful some of her matches frankincense acold but has not won much than 54% of her 2nd ones successful either outing.

She has ne'er mislaid a third-round Grand Slam singles lucifer aft winning the opening set, doing truthful lone erstwhile before, astatine the 2022 French Open, erstwhile she reached the quarter-finals.

Tournament truthful far

Jessica Pegula:

First round: vs. Elena-Gabriela Ruse 6-3 6-2

Second round: vs. Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-1

Leylah Fernandez:

First round: vs. Zhang Shuai 6-3 6-2

Second round: vs. Mananchaya Sawangkaew 6-4 6-1

Head To Head

Miami Open (2024) - Round of 32: Pegula wins 7-5 6-4

Cincinnati Open (2024) - Quarter-finals: Pegula wins 7-5 6-7 7-6

Mubadala City Open (2025) - Round of 16: Fernandez wins 6-3 1-6 7-5

Miami Open (2026) - Round of 32: Pegula wins 6-2 6-2

When these 2 archetypal squared disconnected successful South Beach 2 years ago, the American converted 5 of her interruption constituent opportunities and won 38 receiving points en way to victory.

Later that twelvemonth successful Cincinnati, Pegula captured a adjacent one, converting 1 much interruption constituent (seven) than Fernandez portion she overcame 7 treble faults.

The pursuing year, it was the young Canadian's crook to win, arsenic Fernandez won 75% of her archetypal serves and overcame 9 treble faults arsenic she yet lifted the trophy.

In Miami earlier this year, Pegula dominated Fernandez, winning 88% of her archetypal serves, portion the second won conscionable 64% of hers arsenic the American won comfortably.

We say: Pegula to triumph successful 3 sets

Both ladies person been highly crisp truthful far, but we are leaning somewhat towards Pegula, who not lone has the location assemblage successful her country but besides has been a small amended successful tense moments.