Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro - US Open prediction, form, head-to-head

Seeking a 3rd consecutive semi-final quality astatine the US Open, Jessica Pegula volition quadrate disconnected with chap American Emma Navarro connected Tuesday.

Both ladies won successful consecutive sets implicit the weekend, with Pegula ousting Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-4 and Navarro getting past Anna Kalinskaya 6-4 6-2.

Match preview

Despite an awkward opening acceptable successful circular 4 successful which the players lone held service 3 times successful 9 games, Jessica Pegula was connected the close broadside much often than not.

The American captured the archetypal 13 points of that lucifer earlier Cirstea broke her, though Pegula bounced backmost with 5 aces overall, portion allowing lone one.

At Flushing Meadows this year, she has converted a combined 18 break-point opportunities, enabling her to scope this signifier of the tournament.

In her past 3 matches, she has allowed a specified 4 aces overall, including lone 1 to Cirstea the past clip out.

Tuesday volition people her 4th quality successful a US Open quarter-final successful the past 5 years, with the 32-year-old advancing connected 3 of those past 4 occasions.

Pegula has won her past 3 quarter-final singles Grand Slam outings connected the hard tribunal without losing a azygous acceptable on the way.

Emma Navarro’s wide crippled yet proved to beryllium excessively overmuch for Anna Kalinskaya the past clip retired arsenic the American was proficient connected her serve, groundstrokes and question astir the court.

She has converted a combined 18 interruption points astatine this year’s tournament, portion winning astatine slightest 70% of her archetypal serves successful 3 of her 4 matches.

Navarro registered six aces successful the past 16 and has a full of 24 astatine the tourney truthful far, including 10 successful her opening match.

After conceding 15 aces successful circular one, she has been overmuch amended successful the instrumentality game, allowing a combined six successful her past 3 outings.

With a triumph connected Tuesday, she would adjacent her best-ever show astatine this tourney from 2024 erstwhile she defeated Paula Badosa to get to the last four.

The 25-year-old, calved successful New York, has mislaid 2 of her 3 Grand Slam singles matches astatine the quarter-final stage, failing to triumph a azygous acceptable successful those 2 defeats.

Tournament truthful far

Jessica Pegula:

First round: vs. Elena-Gabriele Ruse 6-3 6-2

Second round: vs. Sofia Kenin 6-3 6-1

Third round: vs. Leylah Fernandez 1-6 6-4 6-3

Round of 16: vs. Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-4

Emma Navarro:

First round: vs. Lois Boisson 7-6 (8-6) 6-7 (1-7) 6-3

Second round: vs. Caty McNally 3-6 6-2 6-3

Third round: vs. Karolina Muchova 6-3 7-5

Round of 16: vs. Anna Kalinskaya 6-4 6-2

Head To Head

Miami Open (2024) - Round of 16: Pegula wins 7-6 6-3

Bad Homburg Open (2025) - Quarter-finals: Pegula wins 6-1 1-6 6-3

China Open (2025) - Quarter-finals: Pegula wins 6-7 6-2 6-2

Cincinnati Open (2026) - Round of 32: Pegula wins 7-5 6-2

In their archetypal gathering successful Miami, Pegula prevailed, converting 3 interruption points and winning the lone tiebreak of that match.

A twelvemonth later, Pegula won again, acknowledgment to her six aces portion she did not concede 1 herself, and precocious successful consecutive sets.

Later that year, she did it the hard way, coming from a acceptable down successful China and winning 71% of her archetypal serves, portion Navarro captured lone 62% of hers.

The last gathering betwixt these 2 successful Cincy this twelvemonth saw Navarro deed doubly arsenic galore aces arsenic Pegula (8-4), though the second went connected to win, acknowledgment to her 5 interruption points converted to Navarro’s two.

We say: Pegula to triumph successful 3 sets

This should beryllium a adjacent match, though we springiness the borderline to Pegula, whose wide crippled seems to beryllium a small stronger, and whose caller acquisition successful the second stages of this tourney whitethorn besides springiness her an advantage.