Jasmine Paolini vs. Sorana Cirstea- US Open prediction, form, head-to-head

With a triumph connected Friday, Jasmine Paolini tin beforehand to the 4th circular of a Grand Slam singles lawsuit for the 2nd clip this twelvemonth arsenic she faces Sorana Cirstea successful her 3rd lucifer astatine the 2026 US Open.

The Italian had small occupation advancing to this stage, defeating Lucrezia Stefanini 6-4 6-1, portion Cirstea ousted Diane Parry 6-2 7-5.

Match preview

After a pugnacious opener astatine this tournament, Paolini breezed done her second-round encounter, needing conscionable implicit an hr and 15 minutes to advance.

A two-time Grand Slam finalist, Paolini won conscionable 64% of her archetypal serves successful circular 2 but captured an awesome 32 receiving points.

Her instrumentality crippled has been particularly beardown astatine Flushing Meadows this year, arsenic she has converted a combined 13 interruption points successful the tourney truthful far.

With a triumph connected Friday, she would beforehand into the past 16 of this lawsuit connected the singles gully for a 2nd clip successful 3 years, with an accidental to get to the quarter-finals for the archetypal clip astatine the US Open.

She has mislaid her past 3 third-round Grand Slam singles encounters connected the hard court, including a straight-sets decision to Iva Jovic astatine this year’s Australian Open.

Paolini has won her past 2 third-round singles matches successful large tournaments erstwhile winning the opening set, aft squandering a one-set pb to Elina Svitolina astatine that signifier of the 2025 Aussie Open.

We are seeing the champion of Sorana Cirstea aboriginal connected successful this tournament, arsenic she is into the 3rd circular of the US Open for the 3rd clip this decade.

A triumph for her connected Friday would people the 2nd clip she advances to astatine slightest the past 16 of a large singles tourney successful 2026, aft getting to the quarter-finals of the astir caller French Open.

This volition beryllium her 5th quality successful the 3rd circular astatine Flushing Meadows, and the Romanian has been connected the losing extremity successful 3 of those erstwhile 4 instances.

Cirstea has ne'er mislaid a US Open third-round lucifer erstwhile winning the opening set, ousting Elena Rybakina astatine this signifier successful 2023.

At the US Open this year, she has won implicit 70% of her archetypal serves successful some of her matches, portion besides picking up a combined 10 interruption points overall.

While she has lone deed a combined 4 aces, the 36-year-old has lone registered a full of 4 treble faults astatine the tourney truthful far.

Tournament truthful far

Jasmine Paolini:

First round: vs. Veronika Erjavec 6-3 3-6 6-4

Second round: vs. Lucrezia Stefanini 6-4 6-1

Sorana Cirstea:

First round: vs. Julia Grabher 6-3 6-0

Second round: vs. Diane Parry 6-2 7-5

Head To Head

Zavarovalnica Sava Portoroz Open (2021) - Quarter-finals: Paolini wins 6-4 4-6 6-1

French Open (2023) - First Round: Paolini wins 7-5 2-6 6-2

Dubai Duty Free Championship (2024) - Semi-finals: Paolini wins 6-2 7-6

When these 2 archetypal met 5 years ago, Paolini converted 5 interruption points to look victorious successful a adjacent three-set outing.

At Roland Garros successful 2023, it was the Italian who won the time erstwhile again, acknowledgment to her 50 receiving points portion winning 68% of her archetypal serves.

Two years ago, they met successful the semi-finals successful Dubai and Paolini won 59% of her archetypal serves, and the lone tiebreak to advance.

We say: Paolini to triumph successful 2 sets

Paolini keeps uncovering a way, and we judge her assertive groundstrokes volition support the older Cirstea guessing and propel the Italian to different victory.