Jasmine Paolini vs. Lucrezia Stefanini- US Open prediction, form, head-to-head

In an all-Italian matchup astatine the US Open, Jasmine Paolini volition quadrate disconnected with Lucrezia Stefanini successful circular 2 of the singles gully connected Tuesday.

Both women came distant with three-set victories successful their openers, with Paolini defeating Veronika Erjavec 6-3 3-6 6-4 and Stefanini ousting Dayana Yastremska 6-3 4-6 6-1.

Match preview

For a 3rd consecutive year, Jasmine Paolini has precocious into the 2nd circular of this tournament, though Erjavec made her enactment for the triumph this week.

In her opener, Paolini committed 5 treble faults but converted 7 interruption points, enabling her to travel retired connected top.

Another triumph would propel her into circular 3 of this tourney for a 3rd successive juncture and enactment her 1 triumph distant from her best-ever singles decorativeness astatine the US Open successful 2024.

Overall, she won 68% of her archetypal serves successful her opener contempt hitting lone 3 aces successful the full contest, which lasted conscionable nether 2 hours.

Only erstwhile successful her vocation connected the singles circuit has she mislaid a second-round Grand Slam singles outing connected the hard court, with Victoria Azarenka beating her successful consecutive sets astatine that signifier of the 2021 US Open.

Across each surfaces this year, Paolini has won implicit 65% of her work games but has won conscionable implicit 35% of her instrumentality games successful 2026.

A beardown wide work crippled and countless errors from her hostile were capable to propel Lucrezia Stefanini into circular 2 of a Grand Slam singles lawsuit for the 2nd time.

The Italian did not deed a azygous ace, but inactive won 60% of her archetypal serves, and 76% of her 2nd ones, portion Dayana Yastremska registered 9 treble faults.

To upset Paolini, she volition request to beryllium conscionable arsenic crisp successful the instrumentality crippled arsenic she was successful her opener, converting 5 of her interruption constituent opportunities successful circular one.

She has a accidental successful this upcoming lucifer to marque the 3rd circular of a large singles tourney for the archetypal time, losing successful consecutive sets to Varvara Gracheva successful circular 2 of the 2023 Australian Open.

In 2026, Stefanini has won conscionable implicit 50% of her serves crossed each surfaces and somewhat much than fractional of her work games.

On the different hand, She has won conscionable implicit 25% of her instrumentality games connected each surfaces this twelvemonth but converted 50% of her interruption points.

Tournament truthful far

Jasmine Paolini:

First round: vs. Veronika Erjavec 6-3 3-6 6-4

Lucrezia Stefanini:

First round: vs. Dayana Yastremska 6-3 4-6 6-1

Head To Head

Courmayeur Open (2021) - Round of 16: Paolini wins 6-4 7-5

The lone erstwhile gathering betwixt these 2 occurred 5 years agone erstwhile Paolini won 83% of her 2nd serves, with Stefanini lone winning 53% of hers, portion Paolini converted 5 of her six break-point opportunities to instrumentality the match.

We say: Paolini to triumph successful 2 sets

While Paolini is astatine times her ain worst enemy, she is acold excessively beardown connected serve, portion the fig of shots she’s susceptible of making are acold greater than what we judge Stefanini tin propulsion her way.