Islamabad, Pakistan – Some 15 years ago, celebrated Pakistani popular vocalist Shehzad Roy released a song, titled Laga Reh (Keep astatine it), which started with the vocalist recalling what helium saw connected TV successful his childhood.
“When I was 10 years old, I heard connected 9 o’clock quality that Pakistan is passing done a captious juncture successful its history,” Roy intones. A short, crisp guitar riff and a drum solo follow, aft which Roy adds: “When I turned 20, I again heard connected the 9 o’clock quality that Pakistan is passing done a captious juncture successful its history.”
The opus was released successful 2008, the twelvemonth Pakistan saw its archetypal predetermination aft the extremity of the nine-year subject regularisation of General Pervez Musharraf. Many observers astatine the clip felt it was arguably the astir important canvass successful the country’s six decades of existence, arsenic it faced existential challenges connected political, economic, and information fronts.
As I began to constitute this portion reflecting connected however Pakistan fared successful 2024, which began with analysts dubbing it the astir captious twelvemonth for the state of 250 cardinal people, I could not assistance but callback Roy’s song.
I began my journalism vocation 2 years aft its release, and I often wonder: portion truthful overmuch has changed successful the state since 2008, has thing really, genuinely changed?
Violence; a volatile governmental landscape; censorship; subject ingress; a precariously placed economy; politicians benefitting from the largesse of the information constitution lone to crook against it aboriginal – it is simply a signifier that repeats itself without fail.
The state held its wide elections successful February this year, primitively scheduled for precocious past year.
Global bodies, autarkic observers and critics panned the vote, galore accusing authorities of manipulating the counting — a complaint that the authorities rejected. The predetermination led to the enactment of a conjugation authorities that kept retired of powerfulness erstwhile Prime Minister Imran Khan’s Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party, adjacent though its candidates — forced to contention arsenic independents aft the enactment was disqualified — won the astir seats.
A convulsive year
Pakistan besides saw a vicious escalation successful violence, peculiarly successful its northwestern state of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and southwestern Balochistan, targeting hundreds of instrumentality enforcement unit and civilians. With astatine slightest 685 members of information forces losing their lives amid a full of 444 panic attacks, 2024 turned retired to beryllium the deadliest twelvemonth for Pakistan’s civilian and subject forces successful a decade. Nearly 1,000 civilians were besides killed.
Overall, the deaths successful convulsive attacks recorded this twelvemonth were astatine a nine-year high, 66 percent much than successful 2023, according to information compiled by the Center for Research and Security Studies (CRSS), an Islamabad-based deliberation tank.
The state managed to suppress attacks by outlawed equipped groups similar the Pakistan Taliban, known by the acronym TTP, and Baloch separatist groups betwixt 2015 and 2021.
But the frequence of attacks surged aft the Taliban successful Afghanistan took implicit Kabul successful August 2021.
In December, astatine slightest 16 soldiers were killed successful an onslaught by the TTP. Pakistan countered by launching aerial raids wrong the territory of Afghanistan, its occidental neighbour. The country’s hawkish stance against Afghanistan, accusing it of harbouring TTP fighters, has lone analyzable diplomatic affairs.
Meanwhile, activists from the impoverished Balochistan state rallied successful precocious July to request the merchandise of missing people, lone to look implicit authorities apathy. Mobile and net services were switched disconnected for much than a month.
Similarly, successful the volatile Kurram region of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, wherever sectarian struggle erupted betwixt Sunni and Shia tribes implicit onshore disputes, the government’s inability to intervene allowed the struggle to escalate, accidental galore analysts, sidesplitting much than 150 people.
Economic respite
While the state managed to stave disconnected an economical catastrophe by averting default, its stableness remained connected a delicate footing, with economical managers struggling to make sustainable means for growth.
Under Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb, Pakistan managed to unafraid a 37-month, $7bn tranche programme from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), providing a lifeline to the country’s ailing economy.
Tight fiscal policies besides saw overseas currency reserves emergence from conscionable much than $3bn successful May 2023 to supra $12bn. Inflation, which peaked astatine 38 percent past year, plummeted to 5 percent this month.
Yet, the authorities appears to person struggled to triumph implicit the public’s economical trust. More than 700,000 Pakistanis legally emigrated this twelvemonth for amended opportunities, portion 3,000 others risked the unsafe “Dunki” route, ignoring the calamity of the Adriana sinking that near much than 260 Pakistanis dormant successful 2023. Another similar incident successful December killed much than 40 people.
Experts – seasoned politicians, governmental economists, societal scientists, and seasoned journalists – each hold connected 1 halfway issue: Pakistan’s quagmire stems from a deficiency of governmental stability. Specifically, the instability that began connected the nighttime of April 9, 2022, erstwhile Khan, the charismatic laminitis of the PTI, was ousted arsenic premier curate done a parliamentary ballot of nary confidence.
The Khan conundrum
Since then, Khan’s supporters person launched respective agelong marches towards the capital, Islamabad; hurled accusations astatine the United States for orchestrating his removal; and challenged the authorization of the military, antecedently seen arsenic his superior patron.
He survived an assassination effort and faced hundreds of ineligible cases, including charges of sedition, terrorism, and incitement against the military. Khan’s supporters went connected to wreak havoc crossed the country, targeting nationalist buildings, subject headquarters, and different installations aft his little detention successful May 2023, and much than 100 were subsequently punished done draconian subject courts.
He evaded arrests, until helium could not, successful August 2023. He was convicted earlier this twelvemonth successful cases related to allegedly leaking authorities secrets, selling authorities gifts, and an amerciable matrimony which violated Islamic laws.
Yet, contempt each this – his imprisonment, PTI’s iconic cricket bat awesome being outlawed, elder enactment leaders being jailed, and candidates forced to run independently utilizing guerrilla tactics and societal media – Khan regained nationalist enactment successful an unprecedented manner, culminating successful the PTI’s stunning wins successful the February elections.
Pakistan’s ‘great firewall’
Meanwhile, Pakistan wrote the latest section successful its agelong past of attempted censorship.
While the PTI authorities nether Khan had procured an online surveillance strategy successful 2018, defence sources revealed to Al Jazeera this twelvemonth that the state has present acquired Chinese exertion to instal a China-like firewall to oversee net usage.
Early signs emerged aft the February elections erstwhile the societal media level X was blocked arsenic a “security risk”.
Unannounced net shutdowns followed, restricting entree to virtual backstage networks (VPNs), and severely impeding the country’s net landscape, a assemblage that earned Pakistan $3.5bn successful 2023.
The conjugation government, led by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, issued contradictory statements, often blaming undersea cablegram damage, planetary net outages, oregon outright denying immoderate problems.
The aureate boy
In a twelvemonth of grim realities, 1 spark of positivity lit up the federation connected the nighttime of August 8 astatine the Stade de France successful Paris.
Arshad Nadeem, a 27-year-old javelin thrower, broke the Olympic record with a 92.97-metre propulsion to triumph Pakistan’s archetypal idiosyncratic golden medal astatine the games.
When I met Nadeem astatine a Lahore gymnasium six weeks earlier that night, helium told maine humbly, “I vie against myself.”
For athletes, it mightiness beryllium a bully mode to rouse themselves and hole for the competition. But reasoning backmost to that speech with Nadeem, I tried to enactment that successful the discourse of Pakistan, its governmental and subject elite, and the perpetual authorities of instability that afflicts the country.
The celebrated proverb, “may you unrecorded successful absorbing times”, which is often erroneously referred to arsenic a Chinese proverb, is seen arsenic a curse. Pakistan, somehow, has chosen to beryllium the living, breathing illustration of this.
I, for one, would not caput a somewhat antithetic 2025, arsenic a newsman successful Pakistan. May we spot little “interesting” times successful the adjacent 12 months.