The prime minister Mark Carney has redefined what the deficit is by splitting it into two parts.
Published Sep 22, 2026 • Last updated 50 minutes ago • 2 minute read

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Prime Minister Mark Carney, during his recent investment summit, announced the federal government will balance its operating budget a year early — in 2027 versus his previous commitment of 2028.
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The problem is that he has redefined what the deficit is by splitting it into two parts.
One part, under Carney’s new math, is operational spending — the day-to-day cost of running the federal government.
The other, previously included in calculating the deficit, is capital spending on infrastructure financed by public debt, paid by taxpayers, ostensibly intended to increase economic growth.
On that issue, Carney has reclassified what are traditionally viewed as operational costs — for example, corporate income tax cuts, investment tax credits and operating subsidies to companies — as capital spending and assumed all government capital spending results in economic growth.
When the parliamentary budget office reviewed Carney’s first budget delivered last November, it reported “the government’s definition of capital investments is overly expansive” compared to international public accounting standards and practices.
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It said $94 billion, or 30% of the spending the Carney government classified as capital investments, was actually operating costs of running the government, and if properly accounted for, would leave “the day-to-day operating balance … in a deficit position.”
University of Calgary economist Trevor Tombe, writing in The Hub, said Carney’s use of “financial sleight of hand will not actually balance the budget” noting that “Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre dismissed Carney’s proposal as ‘cooking the books’ and history justifies the skepticism.”
He added that when the Alberta government tried the same thing a decade ago, it ended in “a budgeting disaster that obscured the province’s true financial position and weakened public accountability” before it was abandoned.
In the real world, assuming that all capital spending, financed by public debt, will automatically boost the economy is unrealistic.
It can easily do the reverse, depending on the quality of the government’s decision-making in awarding contracts ultimately funded by government debt.
The Carney government credits its plan to reduce government spending by $60 billion over five years as part of the reason it will balance the federal operating budget a year early, with government revenues exceeding projections in large part because of high oil prices.
But the main reason is that it has arbitrarily redefined what a deficit is.
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