Democrats Win Senate Control in a Major Blow to Trump

In a resounding rebuke of President Donald Trump and his Republican Party, Democrats will control the Senate for the last two years of Donald Trump’s presidency, cementing one of the strongest midterm showings for either party in decades.
The Associated Press called the upper chamber for Democrats on late Tuesday, after the party’s candidates secured victories in battleground races across the map. Although the AP hasn’t yet called the House for Democrats, other media outlets have.

The milestone potentially sets up a new political dynamic in Washington. A President has not had to deal with a Congress completely controlled by the opposition party since the last two years of Barack Obama’s presidency. Congress now stands to be a true counterweight to the White House and its agenda. 

Democrats needed to net four seats to claim the majority—a tough task given the map this cycle clearly favored Republicans. But with wins in Texas, Ohio, North Carolina, and Iowa, Democrats achieved what most handicappers had treated as a long shot until just weeks before Election Day. Democrats in multiple toss-up Senate races managed to effectively harness a national mood against Trump, the economy and the Iran War to win in places initially deemed out of reach for the party. Outstanding Senate races in states like Maine and Michigan could potentially pad Democrats’ majority. 

The new Senate is likely to be led by Senator Chuck Schumer of New York, who will regain his title of Senate Majority Leader from Republican Senator John Thune of South Dakota. While some Democrats have criticized Schumer’s leadership as minority leader over the past two years, it’s not clear if any Senators are prepared to challenge his leadership before the next Congress convenes in January.

The size of a possible Democratic majority in the House is still unclear as votes in many states were still being tallied, but signs of a significant Trump-centered backlash were popping up all over the country Tuesday night, potentially setting up the party to come away with a double-digit majority. Strategists with both parties had predicted for months that Republicans were unlikely to hold onto the House, where they could only afford to lose three seats.

House Democrats have vowed to use a House majority to aggressively investigate Trump, his Administration, and his allies, as well as push policy proposals they campaigned on, including ending the Iran War, undoing Trump’s tariffs and lowering the cost of living.

Polls had been consistently pointing for months to the House flipping to Democrats. For well over a year, nearly every poll from a reputable pollster asking voters which party’s candidate they intended to support showed Democrats with a clear advantage. But Republicans managed to hold their own or do better in fundraising, especially in pivotal battlegrounds for control of the Senate. And some Democrats as recently as this past weekend were worried that they may somehow still come up short.

Republicans spent much of the year trying to make the best of a bad environment. They constantly claimed the polls were all off, that Trump could still turn out his coalition that remade the modern GOP, and that Democrats’ overconfidence could depress their own turnout.